Regarding the "eighth wave" of the new coronavirus, the spread of infection will become full-scale in Tokyo over the next week, and if the infection of the new mutated virus is strong, the average number of infected people per day will increase from the end of the year to the beginning of the year. A group at the Nagoya Institute of Technology has compiled the results of a trial calculation using AI = artificial intelligence, which may reach about 36,000 people, which is more than the peak of the "seventh wave".

In the simulation, a group led by Professor Akimasa Hirata of Nagoya Institute of Technology used data such as changes in the number of infected people up to the 10th of this month, as well as the effects of vaccines and the movement of people. Assuming that the number of mutated viruses will increase, we used AI to predict the future infection status.



As a result, in Tokyo, the number of infected people will begin to increase in earnest from this week to next week. Assuming that there is no effect, the average number of infected people per day for a week will reach about 30,000 in the middle of next month, and about 36,000 in mid-January next year, exceeding the peak of the "seventh wave". It means that it was predicted.



From mid-January to early February next year, more than 20 people a day will die from the coronavirus in Tokyo.



On the other hand, assuming that the infectivity of BQ.1 and others remains unchanged and the effect of immunity is maintained to some extent, the number of infected people will peak at about 25,000 in mid-January next year. That's what I predicted.



Professor Hirata said, ``The characteristics of ``BQ. I think, so now is the time to get vaccinated."