A study conducted jointly by 120 experts and published Thursday in the British journal The Lancet looks at the future of a baby born in 2019 under two scenarios: if the promises of the Paris agreement are held, or if the overall increase in the Earth's temperature remains unchecked.

This is another way to raise awareness among all of us about global warming. A study published Thursday morning in the prestigious British medical journal The Lancet looks at the consequences of the increase in global temperature of the Earth on the lives of our children. The study was conducted by 120 experts from 35 institutions, including the World Health Organization and the World Bank, and looks at events that a baby born in 2019 will face if the Paris agreement, including the US United are recently released, is respected or not.

There are two scenarios. The first is if we stay below 1.5 degrees of global warming, that is to say if the world begins a radical ecological transition. A child born today will experience the end of the use of coal - which is good news for CO2 emissions - when he is six years old. At the age of 21, the latest petrol and diesel cars will have been sold. And in its thirties, France will have achieved carbon neutrality, that is to say no more resignations than what the Earth can absorb.

"The population feels concerned by the argument of health"

That's the optimistic scenario. And this figure of the baby born in 2019 is what the researchers found to raise awareness among citizens. "The idea of ​​wanting to take a baby's ladder is because people feel concerned about the health argument," explains Anneliese Depoux of the Virchow-Villermé Center, who helped this report. "There is a very effective reach."

On the other hand, if we continue on the current trajectory, this baby, with lungs in formation, will breathe an air more and more toxic. Result: more risk of asthma, heart attacks and strokes. In addition, the price of food will increase. Maize yield has already dropped by around 20%, compared to the 1960s. And at 70, temperatures will have already increased by 4 degrees!