Updated Thursday, January 25, 2024-00:38
The possibility that
Donald Trump
could run again for the Presidency of the United States as a candidate of the Republican Party takes shape after his victory in the New Hampshire primary, which adds to his overwhelming victory in Iowa.
No Republican candidate there has been won in the first two primaries has missed his party's nomination for the White House, so Trump can be considered the
de facto
candidate .
The resurgence of his figure, despite the scandals that dot his career, comes from a
flow of clearly anti-system support
.
The tycoon is not the surprising candidate who beat Hilary Clinton eight years ago.
He now chooses to submit to the polls as a former president and a reference for the populist wave that undermines the foundations of liberal democracy, on both sides of the Atlantic.
In New Hampshire, Trump garnered almost 55% of the vote, while his main rival, Nikki Haley, stayed at 43%.
The race in the primaries is now limited to both and depends on what happens in a month's time in the South Carolina caucuses, where the former president starts with a 30-point advantage despite the fact that Haley was governor of this State.
The struggle within him demonstrates that the Republican Party remains trapped by Trump's anti-establishment drive, whose appeal among the bases contrasts with the misgivings he generates among the moderate vote
.
The former president, who faces four criminal proceedings - he is accused of promoting a coup d'état - has toughened his speech on immigration, has praised Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, an ally of Putin, and maintains that the president The US must have total immunity, even to commit crimes.
Trump's
in-pectore
nomination
forces Biden, eroded by his lack of momentum and by the wear and tear among young voters as a result of his support for Israel in the Gaza conflict, to launch the campaign now
.
The main argument of the president, 81, is that his predecessor in office, 77, is an enemy of democracy, which has a dimension that encompasses Europe, not just the United States.
Trump's return to the White House
would deal a blow to multilateralism at a time when NATO faces the risk of a potential Russian attack in central Europe after the failure of the Ukrainian counteroffensive
.
Trump's possible re-election in the November presidential elections could coincide with the exhaustion of military aid, which would lead Poland and the Baltic countries to raise the alarm, and would have cascading effects throughout the continent.
The
threat to the democratic system
that Trump embodies requires Democrats to put together a candidacy capable of preventing the leading world power from being dragged into an illiberal drift with global consequences.