"NATO has only three years to prepare for a Russian attack" – these are the headlines of a number of Western media outlets today. In this regard, the British The Times even gave out a collage. Surely they found out our secret plans, didn't they? "That's what The Times says," any Mrs. Hudson would tell us.
So, let's read this "sensation" carefully. Its only source is the head of Poland's National Security Bureau, Jacek Siewera.
Well, of course, this is no longer at the level of The Times, but he is still a specialist in defense and security, he probably has more experience under his belt: they are not appointed to the same positions from the street. True, I read the biography of this hardened Polish "intelligence officer" who obtained such secret information about our plans, and I gradually fell into a stupor: 39 years old, the rank of major (yes, not major general, but major!) of the medical service, doctor of science in the field of anesthesiology and intensive care.
He has been the head of the National Security Bureau since last year. Amazing specialist!
Okay, let's say Polish anesthesiologists can get information that is not particularly accessible to other categories of the population. After all, there's a whole bureau working for Sivera! But let's read the interview itself, to which Western agencies rushed to refer, and find out that the "arithmetic" of the head of this bureau is something special.
A Polish journalist just asked the brave medical major how correct the calculations of German analysts were when they recently came to the conclusion: "According to experts and intelligence agencies, it will take Russia from six to ten years to restore its army to a level where it can dare to attack NATO."
Sivera replies: "In my opinion, the timeline presented by German analysts is too optimistic. If we want to avoid war, the Allies on the eastern flank should adopt a shorter, three-year time horizon to prepare for confrontation. Russia's arms industry operates in three shifts and is capable of recovering resources over the next three years."
And here, in fact, is all the "secret arithmetic" from the Polish anesthesiologist that so alarmed the Western media. Logically, three shifts means three years. One is tempted to ask: if the Russian military-industrial complex switches to two shifts, then NATO will have only two years left before an imminent Russian attack? I wouldn't be surprised if Major Sivera said yes. And then some Mrs. Hudson will shrug her shoulders and say, "That's what The Times says."
The author's point of view may not coincide with the position of the editorial board.