U.S. geopolitics is suffering one setback after another: a swing at the ruble, a blow for a penny during the Ukrainian counteroffensive and the super-stability of Russia as a strategic partner of China, the justification of the shameful bloodbath in Palestine, which the former editor-in-chief of the Chinese Global Times, Hu Xijin, called the most mass murder of civilians (which led to the consolidation of the Arab world around China), the demarches of Xi Jinping Macron, who visited the United States, large-scale Belt and Road Initiatives.

Yes, it was clearly not possible to strangle a strategic competitor on the other side of the Pacific Ocean. China also allows itself to inflict painful counterstrikes: restrictions on the export of gallium and germanium, and restrictions on the supply of graphite, which is necessary for the production of electric vehicles, also come into force on December 1.

Nevertheless, the Chinese economy, which is in the phase of the largest transformation in the last 40 years and is solving the problems of imbalance in the development of the development sector, was hit by the "investment war" - and in October of this year, there was an unprecedented outflow of investment in history. There is no denying the man-made influence on this process, especially given Biden's phrase "American investors will leave China", uttered in December last year.

Maximum youth unemployment, turbulence in the personnel of the government and the military, and the American blow to the investment sector in China - as a result, China has postponed the most important economic plenum, which has been held for the past three decades in October.

Chinese and American wrestlers are hanging on top of each other and are parting ways for a tactical pause in the corners of the ring in order to start a new, possibly even fiercer battle after the elections in Taiwan - in Myanmar, in Iran, in all parts of the world.

The fact that the battle was only postponed became clear immediately after the meeting of the leaders: Biden again struck at Xi Jinping's political position, calling him a dictator, Xi Jinping refused to participate in the G20 online, and the US military announced the deployment of intermediate-range ballistic missiles in the Pacific Ocean to "deter China's invasion of Taiwan."

Chinese analysts compared this deployment to nothing less than the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, when the two superpowers, the USSR and the United States, became friends almost to the point of nuclear war.

Under these conditions, Xi Jinping's sovereign group is hastily resolving the internal personnel issue, building balances of power with supporters of peaceful convergence with the West, preparing for a new battle in the new year, 2024 (the year of the Dragon), and in this difficult situation cannot do without the shoulder of its key ally, Russia.

In such a triangle, the issue of the Ukrainian conflict, which is closely related to the elections to the EU, the possible change of the NATO Secretary General, the elections in the United States and important personnel appointments following the results of the Third Plenum of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, is being resolved.

As a result of numerous exchanges, complex combinations and forced decisions, global players will step into the new year.

The author's point of view may not coincide with the position of the editorial board.