Our guys are at home

As President of the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin said, speaking at the plenary session of the Eastern Economic Forum, Moscow and Kiev are in the final stages and are very close to the successful conclusion of the very “negotiations on the exchange of held citizens,” which have been debated so much lately as in Russian , and in the Ukrainian media.

What can I say?

The exchange was finally carried out.

And of course, any such kind of action is always a definite compromise, and a compromise never fully meets the requirements of “justice”: I don’t think, for example, that the famous Nadezhda Savchenko, who turned out to be a wonderful “hedgehog in the pants” for the current Ukrainian elites, with her remarkable efforts to the collapse of what is still purely misunderstood called "Ukrainian statehood", thereby at least partially atoned for its death in the death of our fellow journalists.

And here it is important to understand one simple thing: in this world everything depends on the tasks.

It was more important for us to “pull out our own people” - not even for reasons of the highest political expediency, but simply because of ours. Yes, unfortunately, for the sake of this, it was necessary to free the obviously convicted criminals who somehow committed crimes with the active support of Poroshenko (like the same sailors).

Sorry, with wolves, as they say, live.

Or, as they say, everything on the same territory of the once flourishing Soviet Republic of Ukraine is “well-intentioned, now-awkward”: quite often pragmatic real “expediency” is more important than even formal abstract “justice”.

Unfortunately, we all do not live in the most perfect world.

And in this world, such actions at the level of “forgiving strangers in order to save their own” are absolutely necessary not only on the basis of banal humanitarian considerations. It was no coincidence that Putin also spoke about the maximum possible normalization of our relations even with today's Ukraine - this is really really important for us now. And now we will try to more or less distinctly answer the question that is inevitable in such situations: why?

In fact, everything is quite simple here.

In principle, it is already clear to all more or less sane observers, including even Poles especially clever in such matters, that in its current form the Ukraine project has completely exhausted itself. And he will either have to go through a series of painful economic and political, and possibly just purely geographical transformations, or disappear altogether.

There is nothing particularly secret here, and this is not “conspiracy theories” (at least even representatives of the IMF speak about this quite openly): the question here is exclusively in the nature of the necessary transformations and whether the current Ukrainian statehood itself will withstand them.

Just because, for example, the expected and virtually inevitable (here Kolomoisky is right) default in today's Ukraine is not at all the default that the Russian Federation experienced in 1998, and not the one that the Argentine Republic experiences from time to time. After all, it’s hot in Argentina, tango is dancing there, not a martial hopak, and everyone walks in white trousers, not camouflaged camouflage: in white trousers and default is easier to experience. You would, if anything, even the late Boris Efimovich Nemtsov, who was directly responsible for the Russian default, would confirm this.

But seriously, in both the Russian and the Argentinean cases, it was not a question of refusing to pay for debt obligations, but only of restructuring them.

Moreover, the most important thing is that even in Russia’s terrible 1998 economic standards, the sources of financing this restructuring were more or less clear, otherwise we would not have been given it: the sovereignty of that RF was a little more than that of today's Ukraine.

In Ukraine, such "restructuring financing centers" are currently not even visible under a microscope, here from the word "in general." And that means that we are talking about full-fledged bankruptcy, and whether the fragile current Ukrainian statehood will withstand it is a very big question. And there are many such problems, believe me, the current Ukrainian economy, and not just one “financial default”: starting from the deterioration of infrastructure, most of which has not been repaired since Soviet times, and ending with the notorious “land issue” that present Ukraine can simply break worse than any default.

And that is precisely why we have an urgent need to normalize relations with the territory that flows into a deeper and deeper systemic crisis.

Because what we least need is a humanitarian catastrophe along the western perimeter of our borders.

Here you just should not forget at least about the wind rose and that at the disposal of this nice “team of new professionals” there are five pieces of nuclear power plants only, which are now not just used in the tail and mane, but also, as it turns out, and bitcoins "Mine" without departing from the nuclear reactor itself. Well, what is a kind of monkey with a nuclear grenade, and without us, any traffic police officer can easily outline in much brighter colors.

Moreover, if you and I have no doubts about the business qualities of this “team of professionals”, you need to somehow not at all respect the Russian state power in order to believe that the same Vladimir Putin, for example.

Nevertheless, we quote the Russian president, who does not conceal the ultimate goal of this operation - finally, thank God, the “exchange”: “Regarding the exchange: I think that it would be so large enough, large-scale, and that would already be a good step forward towards normalization. "

And the reasons for what is happening, we repeat, are extremely simple: we have no illusions and we don’t want to bear any responsibility for the fate of this business project “Ukraine”, but we are not indifferent to how the processes occurring in this “goblin reserve” will affect us ourselves .

And the situation there must be kept at least under control so that this patient foolishly at least does not bite the doctor himself.

But the “exchange of held persons” that took place in this situation, alas, does raise quite a few questions (what about the indescribable passion of all Ukrainian authorities to capture and hold hostages, which they don’t even hide at the official level?), the most pleasant, but quite adequate way to start at least such a minimally necessary conversation: perhaps, the fate of “Ukrainian statehood” is not too worrying for us. But the further fate of the Ukrainian people and Ukrainian territory more than concerns us. And precisely for this purpose, we will quote the Russian president again: “Based on considerations of humanity, we are approaching the finalization of negotiations that we are conducting, including with the official authorities, so I think that this will become known in the near future,” Vladimir explained Putin

And he added for quite apparently stupid: “I think that in the historical perspective this will inevitably happen. "I mean the complete normalization in relations, because we are two parts of the same people, I have talked about this many times." And here Putin is somehow completely ruthlessly right: we, unfortunately, are also responsible for the stupidities in the performance of these wonderful either “brothers” or “non-brothers”. Because we are not brothers in any way - we are just one (and, to our great regret, divided) people, and yet, with all the pragmatic decisions, we still need to understand it as rigidly and as ruthlessly as possible.

And by and large, by and large (again!), We are most of all interested, and for absolutely selfish reasons, that in the process of these transformations, or simply chaos, a real humanitarian catastrophe does not happen on the territory of Ukraine. Everything else, in general, is somewhere "not our question." But it is for (not excluded) the relief of systemic crisis phenomena that we vitally need leverage to influence any Ukrainian government, whatever it may be, including the current government. Once again: we need not “friendship and cooperation”, now there is no one to be friends with and no one to cooperate with, but a banal normalization of relations. And the exchange of held persons is at least far from the worst reason to at least just start such a dialogue.