The CSU is currently at 38 percent in the Sunday question in Bavaria.

That is one percentage point more than in October.

However, the CSU had already been at 41 percent in other recent polls.

According to a representative study by Infratest dimap on behalf of Bayerischer Rundfunk ("Bayerntrend"), which was published on Wednesday, the Greens remain at 18 percent, the Free Voters lose one percentage point and are at ten percent.

That would be enough for a continuation of the coalition with the CSU.

Timo Frasch

Political correspondent in Munich.

  • Follow I follow

The AfD can gain one percentage point and comes to 13 percent.

The SPD is at nine percent and thus loses one percentage point.

If elections were held next Sunday, the FDP would not get into the state parliament with four percent (plus one).

Satisfaction with Söder and Aiwanger is growing

The work of the state government is rated better than last.

While criticism of their work predominated in October, a good half of those eligible to vote in Bavaria (51 percent, up seven) are currently satisfied.

The overall rating of the state government, which has improved again, is mainly supported by the CSU.

After 41 percent in October, 47 percent are currently satisfied with their government work.

The performance of the coalition partner Freie Wahler is rated positively by 37 percent (plus one).

In Bavaria there is a more positive mood than last.

In October, only a good quarter of those entitled to vote saw reason for optimism in the state of affairs, now almost every second person does (47 percent, up 19).

70 percent of those eligible to vote are of the opinion that Bavaria has come through the pandemic well overall.

In terms of sympathy values, Prime Minister Markus Söder and his deputy Hubert Aiwanger from the Free Voters in particular were able to increase.

56 percent were very satisfied or satisfied with Söder's work, 45 percent with Aiwanger's - both increased by six points.

Söder is in the middle compared to other country leaders.

While the Schleswig-Holstein Prime Minister Daniel Günther (CDU) was 75 percent satisfied in May 2022, the Governing Mayor of Berlin Franziska Giffey was 37 percent in November 2022.

Katharina Schulze, the parliamentary group leader of the Bavarian Greens, loses approval slightly (23 percent, minus 2), her co-chairman Ludwig Hartmann remained at 19 percent.

"The chairmen of the three other parliamentary groups are still struggling with visible awareness problems, a large majority of those eligible to vote are having difficulty evaluating their work at the moment," the pollsters judged.