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President Miguel Diaz-Canel faced a difficult first year at the helm of Cuba (photo illustration). REUTERS / Alejandro Ernesto

This Friday, April 19 marked in Cuba the first anniversary of the presidency of Miguel Diaz-Canel, after nearly 60 years of reign of the brothers Castro. Raúl Castro remains today in the shadow of power, since he occupies the very important post of Secretary General of the Cuban Communist Party. This first year of exercise of power will not have been easy for the new Cuban president, and the coming future does not seem to offer good prospects for Cubans.

Air disaster, hurricane, poor harvest were already bad for the inexperienced Miguel Diaz-Canel , who took the reins of the Cuban State on April 19, 2018. But what was waiting for this first year of presidency this leader of State appointed by Raúl Castro could not be worse.

First of all, there is this new American administration which decided to draw a line on the diplomatic warming begun by Barack Obama. The United States has reinstated sanctions.

There is also this Venezuelan crisis that never ends. Venezuela, partner of Cuba since the arrival of Hugo Chavez, was until now the first commercial partner of Havana. But the Venezuelan crisis has inevitably reduced these exchanges, and the Cuban economy is suffering with a slow but steady decline.

Miguel Diaz-Canel continues to proclaim his support for Nicolas Maduro's regime. An initiative sanctioned by the Americans who even decided to activate the law Helms-Burton voted in 1996. A law that reinforces the embargo and allows US nationals to claim compensation for property that would have been nationalized by the United States. Castro diet.

Cuba is at worst. This is the speech of many experts after these developments. An analysis that makes us fear the worst in Cuba: the return of the "special period", the hardest that had to endure the Cuban population, just before the arrival of Hugo Chavez to power.

To reread: Miguel Díaz-Canel, from the shadow of Raúl Castro to the presidency of Cuba