China-Singapore Jingwei client, April 16 (Zhang Meng) A few days ago, 31 provinces have published the 2019 National Economic and Social Development Statistical Bulletin, and the permanent population data are all released.

Guangdong topped the list for 14 consecutive years

The data shows that the resident population of Guangdong and Shandong provinces is over 100 million in 2019. Guangdong ranks first in the country with a resident population of 1152.1 million, followed by Shandong with a resident population of 107 million, and Henan ranks third with a population of 96.4 million.

It is found that since 2006, Guangdong has occupied the top position in the resident population for 14 consecutive years. In 2019, in terms of permanent population growth, only Guangdong and Zhejiang have exceeded the million mark. The permanent population of Guangdong and Zhejiang increased by 1.75 million and 1.13 million respectively from the end of 2018.

It is worth noting that in 2019, Zhejiang's population inflow was 841,000, surpassing Guangdong's 862,200, making it the most attractive province.

Su Jian, director of the National Economic Research Center of Peking University, told the Sino-Singapore Jingwei client that the increase in permanent population is related to two factors, one is the natural fertility rate, and the other is the number of population inflows. The more developed, the more labor force that attracts foreign employment.

Zhang Zhixin, an associate professor at the School of Urban Economics and Public Management at the Capital University of Economics and Business, believes that the core reason for the increase in permanent population in Guangdong and Zhejiang is related to its economic structure, and the natural climate and geographical environment are only auxiliary conditions. The local private economy in Guangdong and Zhejiang is active, attracting a large number of labor force employment, resulting in a large number of foreign population inflows.

Beijing, Heilongjiang and Liaoning resident populations have negative growth

Public data show that as of the end of 2019, Beijing's permanent population was 21.536 million, a decrease of 0.6 million from the end of the previous year. Beijing's permanent population has been growing negatively for three consecutive years.

In addition, the resident population in the three provinces of Heilongjiang, Jilin, and Liaoning decreased by 218,000, 133,300, and 76,000, respectively. The natural growth rates of the resident population in the three places were -1.01 ‰, -0.85 ‰, and -0.80 ‰, all of which were negative growth.

Su Jian explained that the decrease in Beijing's permanent population is the result of policies. According to the "Outline of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Coordinated Development Plan", Beijing strictly controls its population. The negative growth of permanent population in the three provinces of Heilongjiang, Jilin, and Liaoning is due to two reasons: on the one hand, population outflow, and on the other hand, the natural growth rate is low.

Zhang Zhixin believes that the economic activity of the northeast region is less than that of the southeast coastal region, and job creation is limited, resulting in population outflow. In addition, there are also some people who have moved out due to their climate and geographic requirements.

Urbanization rate in 13 provinces exceeds 60%

According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, at the end of 2019, the urban permanent population of the country was 84.843 million, accounting for 60.60% of the total population (resident population urbanization rate). The urbanization rate exceeded the 60% mark for the first time.

In terms of provinces, as of the end of 2019, the urbanization of permanent residents in 13 provinces including Shanghai, Beijing, Tianjin, Guangdong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Liaoning, Chongqing, Fujian, Inner Mongolia, Shandong, Hubei, and Heilongjiang exceeded 60%. Among them, the urbanization rate of permanent residents in Shanghai, Beijing and Tianjin all exceeded 80%.

It is worth noting that as of 2019, there are still 18 provinces whose urbanization rate is lower than the national average.

How to increase the urbanization rate of permanent population in the future? A few days ago, the "Opinions of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on Constructing a More Perfect Market-Oriented Allocation System for Factors" mentioned that deepening the reform of the household registration system. Promote the adjustment and improvement of the points settlement policy for mega- and mega-cities, and explore and promote the first mutual recognition of the same urbanization in the urban clusters in the Yangtze River Delta and the Pearl River Delta. The restrictions on city settlement except for some mega-cities should be liberalized, and the system of registering household registration with the place of frequent residence should be tried out.

Su Jian suggested that in some cities, restrictions on household registration can be lifted, various barriers to population mobility can be broken, and foreign populations can enjoy the same public services.

In Zhang Zhixin's view, to break some barriers, such as household registration and housing barriers, it is more important to straighten out the factor market. In response to the floating population's needs for social security, education, medical care, and housing, it is guided by the situation. (Sino-Singapore Jingwei app)

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