Hemedti raises dust.. An explicit admission of the failure of the coup. Will the situation in Sudan be complicated?

KHARTOUM

- Once again, Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as "Hemedti", Vice-President of the Sudanese Sovereignty Council, made controversial statements, days after he announced his support for the army chief's decision to withdraw from the political process to allow the parties to agree among themselves, paving the way for the formation of a civilian government. The army assumes a higher defense council with sovereign powers.

In an interview broadcast by the BBC on Monday evening, Hemedti officially acknowledged the failure of the objectives of the measures taken on October 25, when Army Commander Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan decided to freeze all provisions of the constitutional document related to the partnership between the military and civilians.

Al-Burhan also imposed a state of emergency, and placed ministers and officials in detention, including then Prime Minister Abdullah Hamdok, in a move widely described as a “coup”, while Al-Burhan justified it at the time by the need for corrective measures to end the control of certain parties on power and expand the circle of political participation. .

After these measures, the streets of Sudan witnessed demonstrations that did not subside, despite the security forces’ response to them, with 116 dead and at least 4,000 injured, according to the statistics of medical committees.

Many international and local mediators’ efforts to heal the rift between the military and the Freedom and Change Coalition have also failed, which raised the ceiling of its demands by calling for the military to leave power and hand it over completely to civilians, proposing an integrated vision based on “ending the coup” according to specific procedures and arrangements, at a time when military leaders say they will not They hand over power only to a broad consensus government that enjoys a broad popular consensus, which seems unattainable until now.

Actions failed

Returning to Hemedti’s exciting statements, which largely reflect the size of the silent gap between him and Al-Burhan, the man who is the second in the ruling hierarchy did not hesitate to label the measures implemented 10 months ago as failure, saying, “We did not succeed in changing for reasons that I will not talk about.. and when you think about A change, for sure you have a goal and a vision.. But unfortunately, what was planned was not done and the matter failed.. And now we have gone for the worse, despite the presence of some positives.

And the plan and goals that Hemedti meant may have been intended by Al-Burhan’s pledges, which he made last October 25, when he spoke about forming a government of independent competencies, achieving the requirements of justice and transition, forming a commission to draw up a constitution, another for elections, a higher judicial council, a constitutional court and parliament.

And set a month to get it all done.

But none of these promises were actually fulfilled, and the country has continued without an executive government so far, and justice has not been achieved, and violations against peaceful protesters have increased, while the judicial and parliamentary institutions are still disrupted.

In addition to all that, conditions have worsened, says Hemedti, who did not specify his exact purpose, but the indicators speak of a decline in living conditions with the continuation of the waves of high prices and the growing insecurity, especially in the regions of Darfur, Blue Nile and the east of the country.

political maneuver

From the point of view of the leader of the Freedom and Change Coalition, Orwa Al-Sadiq, Hemedti's statements are nothing more than a "political maneuver towards Al-Burhan" because the dispute between them - according to him - is one of institutions. Hemedti's leadership is speedy and its role is curtailed, while the latter is trying to expand its influence at the civil, religious and regional levels.

Orwa adds to Al Jazeera Net, "Both - Hemedti and Al-Burhan - realized that the military coup had failed security, politically and socially, costing the country a great economic loss, wasting regional and international gains, and opening the door to international interventions, which is something they are trying hard to get out of, but in two different ways. the defunct, and Hemedti entrenched behind tribal and religious entities and some political leaders.”

The leader does not rule out that the dispute between the two men will escalate despite attempts to contain it, which will complicate the scene more than it is, but it will pave - as Al-Sadiq says - the eternal exit of the military from the political process in Sudan.

Hemedti is no longer just a first deputy, but rather an actor and a decision maker, as he made this clear in his recent statement, in which he supported Al-Burhan’s decisions related to withdrawing from political negotiations, stressing his participation in making them “together through continuous consultation” and “in the spirit of one team,” as he said, so It seems strange - according to the opinion of political analyst Abdullah Rizk - for the second man in the state to appear as an opposition leader when he talks about the deterioration of the security and economic conditions at a time when he bears a large part of the responsibility and is expected to take decisions and measures to address those failures with the executive powers available to him and authorities.

Rizk told Al Jazeera Net that the rapid support leader tends to place the blame and full responsibility on the proof, and this is a strong indication of a disagreement between the two, or the lack of coordination between them regarding the official discourse and its unification in the face of the crises in the country.

confrontation odds

For weeks, Hemeti has been in West Darfur, which was explained by the desire not to take responsibility for the decisions of the Sovereignty Council regarding the crisis situation, and observers also talk about the complete absence of the Rapid Support Forces from dispersing the protests condemning the military rule, and after the forces affiliated with Hemedti participated in the forces of The joint police and army in protecting institutions and confronting the demonstrators, they disappeared long weeks ago.

During the BBC interview, Hemeti explains his presence in West Darfur by the need to impose the prestige of the state, complete tribal reconciliations, and establish security so that thousands of displaced people can return to their villages, which they abandoned as a result of armed conflicts.

However, Abdullah Rizk supports the opinion that the departure of the Vice-President of the Sovereignty Council from the decision-making center in Khartoum and his “sit-in in Darfur” means that he does not want to bear more of the failures of the “coup” and its repercussions, which is not only a geographical distance, but also a distance even in attitudes and policies.

He confirms that the open dispute between Al-Burhan and Hemedti had previously warned of an explosion, US Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs Molly Fei, and indeed, it cannot be underestimated or its seriousness, says Rizk.

And he continues, "their separation, or their failure to coexist together, increases the possibilities of confrontation between them, and this is a serious threat to national security, especially if the dispute develops to a level that threatens to abolish the bilateral leadership in favor of one of the poles."