Private think tanks have compiled forecasts for this winter's bonuses for corporate workers, and the average amount paid per employee is expected to rise from the previous year for the second consecutive year, increasing by 1.2% to 2.6% each. I'm in.
However, experts point out that ``the pace of wage increases cannot keep up with the rise in prices.''
Four private think tanks have predicted the average salary per person based on national statistics and other sources regarding this winter's bonuses for businesses with five or more employees, and summarized the results.
According to this, the rate of increase from the previous year is
▽ Dai-ichi Life Research Institute 2.6%,
▽ Mitsubishi UFJ Research & Consulting 2.5%,
▽ The Japan Research Institute 1.8%,
▽ Mizuho Research & Technologies 1.2% It is
According to the monthly labor statistics survey by the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare, the average bonus paid last winter was 380,787 yen, an increase of 0.1% from the previous year.
All four think tanks are forecasting second consecutive years of year-on-year growth.
Of these, the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute is relatively high compared to previous years due to the fact that the performance of companies that have fallen due to the corona crisis is recovering, and it is expected that more companies will resume the payment of winter bonuses, and there is a labor shortage. I expect it to grow.
However, we analyze that the pace of increase in wages, which is the sum of monthly salaries and bonuses, cannot keep up with the rise in prices.
Yoshitaka Shinya, senior executive economist at the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute, said, "I think it's unlikely that an increase in winter bonuses will lead to a boost in consumer spending. Companies that are improving their performance will return money to their workers. should be further increased,” he said.