“Trump is looking backwards
.
Former President Trump is rumored to be a candidate for the 2024 presidential election.
Where is Trump's Republican Party heading?
We asked a heavyweight who has been watching politics at the heart of Washington for half a century.
Who is David Keene?
David Keane began his career in Washington in the 1970s as a political adviser to Mr. Agnew, who served as vice president in the Nixon administration.
He was in his early 20s at the time, and was "the youngest White House staff member to take office and the youngest to leave," he said.
He later served as regional director for Mr. Reagan's campaign and as policy director for Mr. Bush's 1980 campaign.
Keene: It's
been a long time, but it's been a lot of fun. Americans don't care about politics, and a lot of people look down on them, but there are a lot of good people in Washington who are trying to do the right thing. It's a tough job. It's
interesting, too."
The person who served the longest was the representative of the political group that runs the conservative group "CPAC."
Later, during the Obama administration, he also served as president of the NRA = National Rifle Association.
He continues to advise Republican candidates on policy and election matters. I interviewed.
Has Trump gained a new base of support?
Keane said:
"Trump has been more successful as president than I thought. Through effective tax legislation, he was able to appoint many conservative justices to the Supreme Court as well as to the federal courts.
" Republicans used to represent business people who run banks and factories, while Democrats represented working class, immigrants, etc. Now, Wall Street and many big companies support Democrats.Republicans are loyal. It has the support of workers who were Democrats, but
the leaders of both parties failed to understand this shift, which is why Democratic politicians still talk about how to help workers, Republicans keep talking like they represent bankers and business people."
“And then Trump became the Republican nominee. I think Trump has been able to reach out to these people and that's why he continues to be popular."
What are Trump's weaknesses?
"His problem was that he didn't fully understand how the government worked. He left more dissident staff in government than any other president in recent years. Everyone works for me.' But the government doesn't work that way.It's not like the private sector.Trump has
retained many of Obama's nominees, but the results However, even among those responsible for implementing the policy, staff remained hostile to him.The reason Trump was supported was that he was “not part of Washington.” He didn't understand Washington at all."
Trump splits party?
Or?
"It's true that the Republican Party is divided because some people love Trump and some people hate him. But it was the same with Reagan and it was the same with Bush. Here it is. It's the
providence
of politics.There's competition among people in politics, and there's always a "petty quarrel."
We used to say, 'This sucks,' but now the Reagan faction is running the Republican Party."
“These new forces come in without knowing what the party can do. Some people end up like people they should have
hated
, but some stay and learn how to operate in this system.
Many are becoming more sophisticated because they have found Washington to be a thorn and a hard problem to solve, and midterm candidates will soon blend into traditional parties. And it will be a party that can effectively appeal to new constituencies."
What will happen in the midterm elections?
“The Republicans will almost certainly regain control of the House of Representatives. That means winning more seats in the House of Representatives, so in January next year, Republicans will take control of the House of Representatives and McCarthy, a Republican, will be Speaker of the House, not Pelosi, a Democrat. Let's go
What do you need after the election?
"I think the problem is that in recent American politics, people want to investigate the other party. When the Republican Party is in power, the Democrats want to impeach the Republican president, and they go to jail. And when the Republicans got power, they said, 'You did it to us, now we're going to do it.' That's what happens in Washington
. I don't say we shouldn't investigate if we need to, but the Republican Party is responding to things that society is concerned about, like inflation. There must be"
“Then the 2024 presidential election will be promising for Republicans. They feel that politicians are not paying attention to the issues they are concerned about, and that they are more busy arguing with each other than dealing with the issues."
Will Trump run for president in 2024?
"I don't know if Trump will run, and I don't know if he will run and be elected. But if he does, I think he will start with the 'biggest support.' Even those who have been fighting on the field but said 'he's absolutely right' want to stop fighting and this will be the weakness he faces, among other things.
There are times when a president or a presidential candidate has to be low key.People want a presidential candidate to look forward.Trump looks backward.Hear him and those around him. We're looking at the past, we all want to move forward, and we're already in the age of a new generation."
Movement toward 2024 as seen by Yui Caster
Moves within the Republican Party toward the 2024 presidential election.
How does Yui newscaster, who is covering the midterm elections locally, see this?
This time, I spoke to many Trump supporters, and while there is a long-awaited theory, there are also voices calling for a candidate to replace Mr. Trump.
Governor DeSantis of Florida was named by many as a new candidate.
DeSantis became a hot topic in campaign ads that praised Trump with his family during the midterm elections four years ago when he was elected governor, and has been called "Mini Trump".
And now, he is attracting attention as the most influential successor to Mr. Trump.
But Trump himself has expressed his displeasure with the spotlight on Mr. DeSantis rather than himself.
For that reason alone, I would like to appeal my presence once again through the results of the midterm elections.
“Red wave” is a term we hear a lot these days about the prospects for the midterm elections.
Red is the image color of the Republican Party, but I feel that the Red Wave that supports the Republican Party is actually blowing.
If the Republican Party wins majorities in both the House and Senate, there is growing speculation that Trump will be more likely to boast of his achievements and announce his candidacy.