The sad story that is repeated in Venezuela: crises, revolutions and governments de facto

January 23 is a crucial day in Venezuela's turbulent history. On the same day in 1958, a coup overthrew President Marcos Perez Jiménez to settle in Spain under Francisco Franco, the same date in which the speaker of parliament recently declared himself president.

"More than 34 years ago, Hugo Chavez tried to topple Venezuelan President Carlos Andrés Perez, but his attempt failed," author Walter Brown said in a post in the Argentine daily Crunesta.

In February 1999, Chávez became Venezuela's president and did not relinquish his presidency until his death in March 2013, when Nicolas Maduro left his right arm. At that time, the country was facing a deep economic crisis that had caused a severe humanitarian, political and institutional crisis.

On May 20, Maduro took part in the presidential election with serious rivals at the invitation of the Constituent Assembly, which he established in accordance with his desire to make up for Congress and have the same powers. After 13 days, Maduro managed to win a second term, triggering protests from the slums of Caracas, where the crisis intensified.

Poor economic conditions
Venezuela is suffering from hyperinflation of about 1.7 million in the past year and is expected to close to 23 million this year, he said. In addition, this crisis led to a decline in economic growth by half, and the average wage was about seven dollars.

Thousands of Venezuelans who wished to emigrate condemned the suppression of rights, hunger, lack of medicines and the deterioration of health and social services. Nearly 60 years after the country's first coup d'etat, Venezuelan society took to the streets today to protest against Maduro's government.

Roberto Garcia Moritán, in another post published by Kronista, said that the National Assembly (the only legitimate authority in Venezuela) was responsible for the transition. The President of this Assembly, Juan Guadillo, himself was appointed interim President of the country and is expected to enjoy the recognition and support of the vast majority Of the international community, in the footsteps of the Secretary-General of the Organization of American States, who expressed support for this move.

Guido's supporters
The author confirmed that the Lima group and the United States were among the first supporters of Guaido, and his supporters are likely to exceed those who support Maduro, who have demanded no interference in Venezuela's internal affairs.

However, the dictatorship supported by the military structure is still able to largely resist thanks to the global geopolitical landscape, especially thanks to the support it receives from China, Russia and Iran. Caracas has become a pressure tool for Moscow and Beijing when Washington puts pressure on them, and it seems that Tehran will take the same step.

Military mobilization
According to Moritan, the military cooperation agreements concluded between the three countries, the deployment of the Tupolev TU-160 strategic bombers in the vicinity, as well as the announcement of the establishment of a Russian military base in Venezuela are the best proof of the military relations between these countries. Soon Iranian frigates will arrive at the Venezuelan ports.

These three powers believe that their economic and financial interests will be threatened if democracy returns to Venezuela, especially since most of the agreements signed with these countries have not been approved by the National Assembly.

Moratin said Venezuela's disintegration today is too great and could lead the country into a spiral of violence. It would be better for the Lima Group and other major actors in the North to promote a peaceful political transition. Regional diplomacy is once again playing a crucial role in avoiding confrontation, and Venezuela will eventually achieve democracy in a peaceful environment.