Science and Technology Daily (Reporter Liu Yin) In 2023, China's new energy vehicle production and sales will reach 9.587 million and 9.495 million respectively, ranking first in the world for 9 consecutive years.
At the same time, China's exports of electric vehicles, lithium batteries, and solar cells, known as the "three new items", totaled 1.06 trillion yuan, breaking the trillion mark for the first time.
On February 27, the China Electric Vehicles Conference of 100 Results Conference and the Conference of 100 Forum (2024) expert media exchange meeting were held in Beijing.
At the meeting, Ouyang Minggao, academician of the Chinese Academy of Sciences and vice chairman of the China Electric Vehicles Association of 100, used data to "speak" and elaborated on China's efforts and contributions in the global low-carbon transformation.
"With the implementation of urban navigation assisted driving, fast charging and other technologies to optimize and expand use scenarios, China's new energy vehicle market share will continue to break through rapidly before 2026." Ouyang Minggao predicts that this year's new energy vehicle market share is expected to reach 36% - 41%. Under optimistic circumstances, it is expected to exceed 40% and exceed 50% in 2026, occupying a dominant position in the automobile market.
In Ouyang Minggao's view, 2030 will be the outbreak period of the new energy revolution, and new energy and new energy vehicles will develop collaboratively.
"People usually say that the first half of new energy vehicles is electrification, and the second half is intelligence. I think we should add low-carbonization and divide it into three categories: upper, middle and lower." Ouyang Minggao also gave a prediction from a technical perspective, Around 2030, all-solid-state battery technology is expected to be industrialized, green hydrogen energy full-chain technology is expected to break through, and vehicle-network interaction and smart energy system technologies will be promoted on a large scale...
During the meeting, the research report "Towards 2030: Development Pattern and Prospects of the Global New Energy Vehicle Industry" jointly released by the China Electric Vehicle 100 and McKinsey showed that in 2030, the penetration rate of new energy in the global passenger car market will reach 50%, and China Consumers' influence on global new energy vehicle consumption is increasing day by day, and technological iterations are pushing the popularity of new energy vehicles into the fast lane.
Zhang Yongwei, vice chairman and secretary-general of the China Electric Vehicles Association of 100, said that the global new energy vehicle market will still maintain rapid growth in the future. By 2030, the global passenger car market is expected to exceed 80 million units, of which the new energy penetration rate will reach About 50%, but regional differences will become increasingly obvious.
"The cost of power batteries may have room to fall by more than 25% in 2030. The continued decline in battery costs will play a key role in the popularization of new energy vehicles." Zhang Yongwei said that in 2030, artificial intelligence technology will also become a trend, and intelligent Driving and artificial intelligence will become key technologies to promote global smart travel, and artificial intelligence technology will be widely and deeply applied throughout the entire life cycle of automobiles.