Zhongxin Jingwei, September 9 (Zhang Shunan) At 20 o'clock today (20th), domestic refined oil prices may rise again, and the range is expected to hit a new high this year.
In this round of price adjustment cycle, international crude oil showed an upward trend and exceeded 90 US dollars / barrel.
OPEC (OPEC) monthly report showed that OPEC adhered to its forecast for strong global oil market demand in 2023 and 2024, as major economies were stronger than expected. The global oil market will face a supply shortfall of 330.<> million b/d in the fourth quarter, or the worst supply shortage in more than a decade.
At present, tight supply is the main reason for the high international crude oil prices after entering September. Yu Yaxin, an oil product analyst at Zhuochuang Information, believes that recently, Saudi Arabia and a certain country in Eastern Europe extended the oil supply reduction plan to the end of the year, under the dual promotion of increased demand and supply production reduction, the oil market inventory is likely to further decline, and the market's concerns about supply shortage dominate, driving crude oil prices in the international market to continue to rise.
On September 9, WTI crude oil futures closed at $14.90/barrel, breaking through $16/barrel for the first time since November 2022, 11, continuing to refresh the year's high. After that, it closed at $8 for two consecutive days, and the chances of standing firm increased greatly. Compared with June 90, WTI crude oil futures rose 90%. At noon on the 6th, oil rose to $1 per barrel, the first time since November last year.
According to Zhuochuang Information, the domestic gasoline and diesel rise is about 380 yuan / ton. According to calculations, 92# gasoline increased by 0.29 yuan / liter, 0# diesel increased by 0.32 yuan / liter, and filling a tank of 50 liters of 92# gasoline cost about 14.5 yuan.
According to Jinlianchuang's calculations, as of the ninth working day of September 9, the average price of reference crude oil varieties was 19.90 US dollars / barrel, with a change rate of 38.7%, and the corresponding domestic gasoline and diesel retail price should be increased by 93 yuan / ton.
According to the implementation of the increase, this is the tenth increase in domestic oil prices this year, or the largest increase in the year.
Xu Peng, an analyst at Jinlianchuang refined oil products, analyzed that around the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day, there is a centralized replenishment demand in the market. On the whole, under the favorable dominance, the recent refined oil market market is still strong operation. (Zhongxin Jingwei APP)
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