Data map: Property consultants recommend commercial housing types to the public.
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Central Beijing property market: "Free room delivery" is mostly a gimmick, and almost no one picks up
Experts say that most home buyers will not take the risk of "credit bankruptcy" to cut off the supply, but personal "negative equity" needs to be vigilant
Our reporter Zhao Hongyu
Recently, a lot of "free room delivery" content appeared on Internet platforms around Beijing. Xinhua Daily Telegraph reporters visited Sanhe City, Zhuozhou City, Gu'an County, Hebei Province and other places around Beijing and found that these hotspot areas in the Beijing real estate market Prices have been declining in the past four years and sales have been hovering at low levels. Some listings have become "insolvent". Buyers would rather "give away" the house at a loss than continue to repay the loan, so they released relevant information stating that the receiver only needs The real estate can be given away for free by taking on the remaining loan.
Relevant experts suggest that in recent years, housing prices in many places across the country have fallen, and all localities should cherish the hard-won results of regulation and control, relying on industries to promote the long-term and healthy development of the real estate market.
The property market in Central Beijing has continued to decline in prices in the past four years, and some self-media speculations are "sending homes"
Recently, the reporter visited Yanjiao, Hebei, which is known as the "wind vane" of the Beijing property market, and found that many of the stores rented by real estate agencies have been replaced by other stores, and there are also signs of "subletting" posted on the front of the real estate agency.
Xia Jie, a real estate consultant in Yanjiao, a well-known real estate agency in the country, said that the sudden outbreak of new crown pneumonia in early 2020 made Yanjiao almost no tenants from Beijing in the first half of that year.
Some time ago, the commute between Langfang, Hebei and Beijing required a nucleic acid negative certificate within 7 days, and there were very few visitors from Beijing.
"Since the strict purchase restriction policy, the source of customers in Beijing has been the main target group, and the poor business has made many real estate agents choose to leave." Xia Jie said.
Mr. Du, a citizen of Shijiazhuang, saw the "hotness" of the Huanjing property market in September 2016 and visited many places for house inspections. In the end, he chose Xianghe County, which is farther from Beijing, to purchase a house.
"The house appreciated briefly in early 2017, but after that, the average price fell by more than 1,000 yuan per square meter every six months. The house bought for more than 1.9 million yuan at that time has a market value of less than 1.4 million yuan, and the down payment has basically fallen."
Zheng Qiu, a real estate agency in Zhuozhou for 6 years in Zhuozhou, Hebei, which is close to Fangshan in Beijing, said that many real estates in Zhuozhou have dropped from more than 20,000 yuan per square meter in March 2017 to about 10,000 yuan, but the market is relatively deserted. Last year, he handled no more than 20 listings, and most of them were replaced by locals.
It takes about 25 minutes to take the high-speed rail to Hebei Gaobeidian at Beijing West Railway Station. The housing price near the high-speed rail has dropped from more than 10,000 yuan per square meter in 2017 to 6,500 yuan at present.
The continued decline in house prices has made many home buyers feel anxious.
The housing management department of a certain area in Beijing stated that the complaints they received in the past two years have increased a lot compared to before. Some real estate projects have been reduced in price, and buyers often unite to ask for check-out on the grounds of housing quality, and even cause troubles. Happening.
Not only that, recently on the Internet platform, some self-media claimed that the houses in the Huanjing property market are "free", and the receivers only need to continue to help them repay their loans.
Ma Ce, who works for an Internet company in Beijing, bought a house in Dachang County, Hebei Province, which is close to Beijing, in early 2017.
He saw a lot of similar content on the Internet, and followed the trend to "deliver the house for free" content, "The house is already living, mainly to vent his emotions."
Personal "negative equity" needs to be vigilant, and some real estate companies are experiencing cash flow difficulties
Zhang Yumei, a professor at the School of Economics of Hebei University, said that "free home delivery" on the Internet is mostly a gimmick. The receiver needs to continue to bear the loan and loan interest. If the house price falls by more than 30%, for the so-called receiver, buy a new house. The cost will be lower, there will be no benefits, and basically no one will "take the order."
According to Zhang Yumei’s analysis, the period from September 2016 to March 2017 was the high point in the price of the Huanjing property market. During this time period, most of the investors or just-needers who purchased houses did not make a small down payment, and most had other assets or A stable source of income will not take the risk of credit "bankruptcy" to cut off the supply. Even if there is a problem with the funds, some people will choose to sell their real estate at a lower price.
Zhang Yumei believes that from a regional perspective, the probability of systemic financial risks is not high, but the current real estate market in many places across the country is steadily declining, and high-level homebuyers’ “negative equity” situation needs to be vigilant.
Some real estate companies are experiencing cash flow difficulties.
When the reporter interviewed the progress of a large-scale real estate company's project in the region around Beijing, a person in charge said that there will be certain difficulties in funding for the region around Beijing alone. Fortunately, the group has ample cash flow and can help projects in the region around Beijing survive. Difficulty.
The reporter visited and found that some real estate companies with "complete five certificates" in the Beijing area had problems with the capital chain due to poor sales in recent years, and the projects became unfinished.
If the property market continues to be sluggish, there may be more real estate companies that will increase financial pressure or even go bankrupt.
Relevant departments in many places around Beijing stated that for some projects that have been completed in the region, real estate companies and newly settled companies are guided to use "contract purchases" and "internal house purchases" to help real estate companies achieve capital return as soon as possible.
For some companies with broken capital chains, actively guide them to cooperate with other real estate companies through equity transfer and other forms to jointly complete project development and construction.
Relying on industry to promote the long-term and healthy development of the real estate market
Zhang Yumei analyzed that, with the exception of Tangshan, the housing market in Hebei will all have lower prices in 2020. The housing market in Beijing is also returning to rationality. The housing market in non-hot spots is falling. The housing market around Beijing is greatly affected by the surrounding areas. The price has risen in the past. Soon, it is normal for prices to fall.
A person in charge of the China Regional Economic Association said that the area around Beijing should not over-develope the real estate industry. It should consolidate the hard-won control results, take the initiative to undertake the transfer of industries in the Beijing-Tianjin area, increase jobs, and use the development of the industry to drive the development of the property market. .
In the process of industrial development, the functional positioning of the city should be reasonably determined based on its location conditions, resource endowments, etc., and the land use pattern and even the dominant direction of land supply should be determined based on its functional positioning to prevent redundant construction caused by disorderly competition.
Some local cadres interviewed believed that the relatively deserted real estate market and relatively strict purchase restriction policies dispelled the local government's idea of relying on land finance to "feed" and cherish its location advantages to develop related industries.
Some areas have already been explored.
Xianghe County, which is only 45 kilometers away from the central city of Beijing, pays more attention to the concepts of "inviting investment and investment" and "pragmatic investment" in attracting investment, focusing on the two main directions of high-end manufacturing and modern service industries, and establishing a robot town , The whole industry chain attracts investment and is currently accelerating the formation of influential robot industry clusters.
Gaobeidian, which is about 25 minutes away from Beijing West Railway Station by high-speed rail, has also formed a new local economic growth point by taking over the Xinfadi Wholesale Market and Jingkai Hardware Wholesale Market in Beijing.
(Some interviewees have pseudonyms)