Bureau of People's Livelihood Investigation

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  This is the People's Livelihood Investigation Bureau, which has never seen people's livelihood.

Follow what you want to follow and what you didn't follow, and investigate what you want to see and haven't seen.

  Chinanews client, Beijing, November 7th (Reporter Xie Yiguan) Down!



The price of pork is really reduced!

  Since September, the "higher" pork price has finally lowered, and "pork price has dropped by 20%" directly on the hot search.

The picture shows the pork section in a supermarket in Fengtai District, Beijing.

Photo by Xie Yiguan

More than ten yuan a catty of pork reappears on the market

  Affected by the "pig cycle" and "African swine fever", pork prices have been on the "rocket" since last year, with 20 yuan, 30 yuan, 40 yuan...aroused high attention and frequently appeared in hot searches.

  Today, the price of pork has really fallen!

In the past two months, the price of pork has continued to fall, and people can finally straighten their backs and shout in front of the pork stall, "Boss, let's get a catty of ribs."

  "Now the former sells 25.8 yuan per catty, which has dropped a lot. It used to sell more than 30 yuan, and the pork belly has also dropped. It is the difference between the more and the less." At a vegetable market in Fengtai District, Beijing, selling meat The vendor told Chinanews.com reporter.

  The yellow price tag in the booth showed that the big five cost 33.5 yuan a catty, the front elbow was 22 yuan a catty, and the cavity bones sold for 19 yuan a catty.

  "The price of meat has indeed changed. Qianjian is almost 3 yuan cheaper than last month, but the meat and pork belly have not changed. The pork belly and small tenderloin are still more than 30 yuan." Residents who often come here to sell meat said The reporter said.

The picture shows a pork stall in a vegetable market in Fengtai District, Beijing.

Photo by Xie Yiguan

  In a large supermarket in Fengtai District, different parts of pork were packed in boxes and put together with discount labels. Some residents gathered around discounted pork to carefully select.

"These meats are sold at 60% or 30% off." The staff explained.

  The reporter noticed that the original price of a 350g box of pork belly with skin was 35.70 yuan, and the promotional price was 24.99 yuan.

In addition, the hanging yellow sign shows that the exclusive member price of pork ribs is 25.8 yuan per catty, and the promotional price of skinned hind legs is 23.8 yuan per catty.

  Not only in Beijing, but in Henan, Shandong and other places, residents have reported that pork prices have fallen. Some local residents even ate less than 20 yuan a catty of pork.

The screenshot is from a comment on Sina Weibo.

After 10 weeks of continuous decline, the wholesale price of pork fell by more than 20% in two months

  The recent changes in pork prices are more intuitive in the data.

  "As of the 4th week of October, pork prices have been down for 8 consecutive weeks from the previous month, and have declined since the second week of October." The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs conducted fixed-point monitoring of fairs in 500 counties across the country.

  Focusing on the fourth week of October, the national average price of live pigs was 29.82 yuan/kg, down 3.6% from the previous week and 23.0% year-on-year; the national average pork price was 47.66 yuan/kg, down 3.2% from the previous week and 18.6% year-on-year .

  In terms of different regions, the price of pork in Beijing rose month-on-month, while that in 28 provinces including Chongqing, Anhui, Fujian, Shanxi and Hubei, fell, and that in Hainan remained flat.

The average price of pork in South China is higher, at 51.04 yuan/kg; in Northeast China, the average price is lower at 43.47 yuan/kg.

Data map: People buy pork in a Jingkelong supermarket in Chaoyang District, Beijing.

Photo by China News Agency reporter Jiang Qiming

  According to a review, pork prices have fallen by more than 20% in the past two months.

  According to the joint monitoring of the Information Center of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs and Zhuochuang Information, in the 43rd week of 2020 (October 26-October 30), the weekly average of the total ex-factory price index of lean white pork in 16 provinces (municipalities directly under the Central Government) is The kilogram is 36.12 yuan, a decrease of 23.4% compared to 47.16 yuan in the 36th week (August 31st-September 4th).

  In addition, the latest data from the Ministry of Commerce showed that from October 26 to November 1, the wholesale price of pork was 39.26 yuan per kilogram, which fell below the 40 yuan mark and declined for 10 consecutive weeks.

Why are pork prices falling?

  "The price of pork has fallen, mainly because the tight supply of live pigs has been significantly eased, and the supply has begun to increase slowly." Feng Yonghui, an analyst at Live Pig Warning Network, told a reporter from Chinanews.com.

  Feng Yonghui said that September 2019 is the turning point of sow stocks. According to the physiological cycle, there will be a turning point in the supply of fat pigs in September and October 2020. After that, the supply will become more and more, but the magnitude and rhythm of the increase. The early stage will be slower, and the later stage may be faster.

Data map: Farmers care for piglets.

Photo by Han Zhangyun

  According to Wei Baigang, chief economist of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, in the first three quarters, my country has newly built 12,500 large-scale pig farms and put into operation 13,400 large-scale pig farms with empty pens.

By the end of September, the national live pig inventory reached 370 million, which was restored to 84% at the end of 2017; the breeding sow population reached 38.22 million, which was restored to 86% at the end of 2017.

  In addition to the recovery of live pig production, the introduction of imported pork and central reserve meat also increased the supply of pork in the market and stabilized pork prices.

Data show that from January to September this year, my country imported 3.286 million tons of pork, a year-on-year increase of 132.2%.

According to statistics from previous announcements made by Huachu.com, as of the end of September, the central reserve of frozen pork had been placed 35 times during the year, with a cumulative total of 600,000 tons.

  “With the rapid expansion of the production capacity of large-scale pig farms in the early stage, the intention of small and medium-sized households to supplement slaughter and secondary fattening has increased, and the slaughter of pigs has been superimposed. After the demand for double festivals subsided in October, the imbalance of market supply and demand has intensified. The increase in bearish sentiment and the increasing willingness of the breeding end to sell slaughter have pushed the price of pigs to decline rapidly.” explained Wang Lingyun, a pig industry analyst at Zhuochuang Information.

Can I eat pork below 10 yuan during the Spring Festival?

  The decline in pork prices is gratifying, but netizens are most concerned about whether the downward trend can continue, and when they can return to the previous 10 yuan per catty. You can eat braised pork, chew pork feet, and drink rib soup during the festival.

  "In the coming period, the pork supply situation will get better and better, and we are confident that we will achieve the goal of basically recovering the annual pig production capacity to near normal levels." said Chen Guanghua, deputy director of the Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs.

  Chen Guanghua said that after expert analysis and calculations, considering the recovery of live pig production, pork imports, changes in consumer demand and other factors, during the New Year’s Day and Spring Festival next year, pork supply will increase by about 30% year-on-year, and prices will generally be lower than the same period last year. , There will be no more substantial price increases, which can ensure that there is no shortage of meat in the bowl of the people during the New Year.

Data map: Changsha citizens buy pork in supermarkets.

Photo by Lu Yi

  "Although the supply of live pigs has reached an inflection point and the general direction has been reversed, it does not mean that pork prices have fallen all the way. It is expected to maintain a wave-like decline." Feng Yonghui said that before the Spring Festival, prices will be affected by changes in demand. The rebound, but the rebound will not be particularly large.

  “As the weather continues to turn cold later, the market’s demand for fat white strips will gradually increase. It is expected that the price of live pigs in November may fluctuate first and then rise slightly. Affected by La Nina, the southern region may accelerate into the cold winter in December, and the activity of pickled enema will increase. , Superimposing the deep processing enterprises' intention to stock up before the Spring Festival, the two-way increase in market supply and demand, it is expected that the live pig market may rise to a certain extent, but the space may be relatively limited." Wang Lingyun pointed out.

  Liu Yonghao, Chairman of New Hope Group, believes that “With technological advancement, organization in place, and a large amount of capital investment, the production capacity of breeding sows and fattening pigs is in the process of restoring. It is possible that pork prices will gradually return to normal prices after the middle of next year. Yes, people across the country will surely be able to enjoy good quality pork at an appropriate price."

  Have you bought pork recently?

How much is a catty?