The press conference of the joint prevention and control mechanism of the State Council introduced the situation of maintaining stable prices for livestock and poultry products——

This year's CPI is expected to be high before low

Economic Daily, China Economic Network reporter Ao Rong

For more than a month, the National Development and Reform Commission has stepped up its efforts to regulate and control the pork market and actively maintained a stable supply price. The price of pork has continued to fall, with a decline of more than 7%. At present, the central government has increased funding support, and at the same time strictly guarded against the swine fever epidemic in Africa, pig production continued to maintain a good momentum. In the coming period, pig production capacity is expected to recover steadily, pork supply will improve, and prices will fall accordingly. It is expected that this year's CPI will show a trend of high and low before, and the overall price operation will maintain a reasonable range throughout the year.

On March 19th, the State Council ’s joint prevention and control mechanism held a press conference. The National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Finance, and the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs related to the stable production and supply of pigs, the prevention and control of swine fever, and the supply of poultry and eggs. Questions that describe the situation.

Prices will remain within reasonable range throughout the year

For more than a month, the National Development and Reform Commission has stepped up its efforts to regulate and control the pork market, actively maintaining a stable supply price, and pork prices have continued to fall. In the 36 large and medium-sized cities monitored, the average retail price of lean meat on March 18 has dropped to 32.21 yuan per catty, which is more than 2 yuan lower than the highest point of 34.63 yuan in mid-February.

During the epidemic, the intensive supply of reserved meat kept the market price of pork at a relatively high level. Especially in the past month or so, pork prices have continued to fall, falling by more than 7%. Moreover, the placement of stocked meat will not affect the production enthusiasm of farmers. Peng Shaozong, deputy director and first-level inspector of the Price Division of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that when the price of pig food was 6: 1, it was the break-even point for pig farming. At present, the price ratio of pig food is 18: 1, and pig farming is profitable. Many farmers, especially large-scale farming enterprises with high levels of biological safety, are very enthusiastic about expanding their production.

The National Development and Reform Commission predicts that with the steady recovery of pig production capacity in the current and future periods, pork supply will improve and prices will fall accordingly; at the same time, China's industrial and agricultural product supply is relatively adequate, the service industry is developing rapidly, and prices are maintained. The foundation for stable operation is firm. It is expected that the CPI will show a high and low trend this year, and the price operation will remain in a reasonable range throughout the year.

Hog production is recovering

At present, pig production has continued to improve. According to the monitoring data of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, in February, the number of fertile sows in stock increased by 1.7% month-on-month, which is the fifth consecutive month of increase; the number of newborn piglets in pig farms with a scale of more than 500 pigs nationwide increased by 3.4%, which has been since 9 The first month-on-month increase since the month.

There is another good sign. According to the convention, the pig inventory usually decreases in the month after the Spring Festival, but the pig inventory in February this year showed an anti-seasonal increase, which increased by 2.8% month-on-month.

Judging from the situation in various regions, the overall recovery of sow production has become wider and wider, and the number of fertile sows in 27 provinces across the country has maintained growth. In the southern main producing areas, the initial production capacity declined more. In February this year, the growth rate of fertile sows in these provinces was higher than the national average. These positive factors are conducive to the overall recovery of pig production capacity.

Strict prevention and control of African swine fever

Recently, three cases of African swine fever were detected in Sichuan and Henan. An investigation by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs found that the three outbreaks were all caused by illegal transportation. The owners of the products were sold through online contact and offline transactions. Two of them were also suspected of using the Internet platform to sell sick pigs in the name of temporarily suspended production farms. The behavior was very covert and the nature was very bad. For this reason, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Areas specially reminded that, in response to the abnormal situation in online sales, the relevant farms should be monitored.

Wei Hongyang, deputy director of the Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, said that this year, a total of 4 reports of African swine fever were received, and 324 live pigs were killed. Compared with 13 cases and 197,000 live pigs killed in the same period last year, the African swine fever epidemic in China Slowing down. However, African swine fever has occurred in every province of our country, and it has formed a certain pollution surface. Especially with the accelerated recovery of pig production, piglets and breeding pigs are being transported more and more frequently, the risk of epidemic situation may still increase, and the prevention and control work can not be careless.

Although no country in the world has approved any commercial application of African swine fever vaccine, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Areas and relevant departments actively support and encourage legal and compliant scientific research institutions to strengthen the research and development of African swine fever vaccine. At present, different institutions have made some positive progress, and the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs strives to start clinical trials as soon as possible.

Increase funding support

In order to reduce the loss of African swine fever, in May 2019, the central government will provide short-term loan discount support to pig farms (including local pig farms) that have a production and operation license for breeding livestock and poultry, and pig farms with an annual output of more than 5,000 pigs. . As of the end of January this year, finances at all levels across the country have arranged a total of 444 million yuan in discount interest funds for pig farms and large-scale farms, involving a loan of 52.142 billion yuan.

At present, the epidemic situation of new crown pneumonia has a cumulative effect on pig production, and the majority of pig farms (households) are facing practical difficulties such as shortage of funds and difficulty in obtaining loans. To this end, the central government has extended the subsidy range for temporary loan interest subsidies from more than 5,000 farms (houses) to more than 500 heads.

Jiang Dazhang, deputy director of the Agriculture and Rural Division of the Ministry of Finance, said that the discount of temporary loans is a general policy, and all eligible loans can enjoy the support of fiscal discounts. In the next step, the Ministry of Finance will guide and urge local governments to implement a policy of discounting interest on temporary loans so that farms (households) in need can enjoy policy support in accordance with regulations.

At the same time, on the basis of the 2.3 billion yuan of incentive funds transferred from large counties by the central government, the central government increased the arrangement of 700 million yuan of incentive funds from large counties, and the average amount of incentives from large counties increased from 4.6 million yuan to 6 million yuan. . Incentive funds are used to support the production and distribution of pigs and industrial development. The scope of support mainly includes the transformation of pens in the production of pigs, the introduction of improved breeds, sewage treatment, epidemic prevention, insurance, etc., as well as cold chain logistics, storage, and processing facilities and equipment in the circulation process. Wait.

Conditional release of live bird trading

To ensure the supply of poultry products, the issue of marketing of live poultry needs to be addressed. Qiu Tianchao, deputy director of the Department of Agriculture and Economics of the National Development and Reform Commission, said that according to the development of the epidemic, under the premise of prevention and control, localities can independently adjust management measures and conditionally release live poultry trading.

For areas where live bird trading is suspended, point-to-point live bird sales channels have been established through centralized slaughtering, production and marketing docking to help farmers solve the problems of live bird trading and slaughtering and listing. It is understood that many provinces in the south have gradually released live poultry market transactions in accordance with the requirements of differentiated management. The problems of live poultry fencing and product storage have been significantly alleviated. The amount of stock has been normalized, and the price of live chicken has steadily recovered.

In areas where conditions and conditions have been implemented to permanently close the live poultry trading market, adhere to the development direction of large-scale breeding, centralized slaughtering, cold-chain transportation, and chilled listing, to protect residents' consumption. Slaughtering enterprises have resumed work and resumed yields of more than 80%. By promoting the production and marketing of poultry farms (households) and slaughtering enterprises, it will help maintain a good level of domestic poultry production this year.