US President Trump is paying attention to its feasibility when he first mentions the one-year acting of the 2020 Tokyo Olympics at the White House on the 13th. President Trump said before the talks with the Irish prime minister, "I think it would be better to postpone a year if possible, rather than having no spectators at the Olympic Stadium." Although it presupposed that it was a private opinion, it caused a wave by revealing that it is desirable to postpone the competition for a year rather than the 'Absolute Olympics'.

The United States' share of the Olympics is absolute. The U.S. is the strongest sporting country with almost certainly a total victory at the Tokyo Olympics, and the NBC in the U.S. pays more than half of the total broadcast fee to the International Olympic Committee (IOC). In short, the Olympics without the United States is a reality that cannot be thought of.

In this regard, President Trump's one-year acting theory is a proposal that cannot be dismissed as a simple opinion. This is because the Corona 19 can be thought of as a sign that it is difficult to send the US squad to Tokyo in July if it does not sink until May.

When the word 'smoke' came out of Trump's mouth, the Japanese government and Prime Minister Abe's instep began to fall. On the 14th, the next day, Prime Minister Abe stressed at a press conference held at the Prime Minister's Office in Japan, saying, "We will cooperate with the IOC to prevent the spread of Corona 19 and hold the Olympics as scheduled." He continued, "The spread of Corona 19 in Japan is not as serious as expected," he said. "Comparing the number of infected people per 10,000 population, Japan is only 0.06."

In this situation, the IOC, which has the power to make decisions regarding the cancellation or postponement of the Tokyo Olympics, has made Japan more nervous by saying it will follow the advice of the World Health Organization (WHO). This is because Thomas Bach, chairman of the IOC, in an interview with the German public broadcaster ARD suggested that the WHO would cancel the Tokyo Olympics if it advised the WHO to cancel. So what will be the fate of the Tokyo Olympics? Will Abe hold the summit as expected? Or will it be postponed for a year like President Trump's proposal? It is analyzed that the direction will be decided according to the agreement of the IOC, the Japanese government of the host country, and the United States, the 'big hand', of the three countries.

The most undesirable scenario for all 3 characters is full cancellation. Both the IOC and Japan suffer huge losses, and most of all, irreversible blows to athletes all over the world who have been watching the Olympics and running. It is also a big burden for the IOC that the Olympics will leave a precedent for being canceled by viruses for the first time in history.

The next scenario is 'Absolute Olympics'. In this case, the Olympics negatively impacted the image of the 'Global Village Festival' and poured cold water into the box office, but as an IOC, you can almost earn the relay fee and sponsor income. However, it is unlikely that this will happen because the Japanese government has expressed an allergic reaction to the 'Absolute Olympics' and does not want President Trump.

Eventually, the remaining scenarios are post-October or post-July next year. As for the postponed fall this year, it is unclear whether the Corona19 will end, and the US and UK professional sports schedules may lead to an astronomical mediation dispute with the IOC. For this reason, post-October deferral is a scenario that the IOC does not want.

The last remaining number is Trump's one-year delay. The Tokyo Olympics will be delayed by exactly one year and opened in late July next year. Even in this case, the challenges to be solved by the IOC and the Japanese government are challenging. First, the “Host City Agreement”, which is scheduled to take place at the end of this year, must be destroyed by a bilateral agreement and a new agreement must be prepared.

The difficulty with delaying for one year is that the schedule overlaps with the already scheduled large international sports competition. The issue must be solved by the IOC in consultation with the host country and each sporting organization. World Swimming Championships held from July 16 to August 1, 2021 (Fukuoka, Japan), World Athletics Championships held from August 6 to 15 (Eugene, Oregon, USA) 2021 The summer universiade (Chengdu, Sichuan, Sichuan, China) is awaiting the challenge of completely changing the schedule.
The biggest headache is the enormous burden of the Japanese government. For this Olympic Games, more than 5,000 generations of villages have been newly built in Tokyo. Constructed in the Harumi area overlooking the sea, some of the equilibrium of this athlete's village is a luxury apartment with 4 billion won in our money. It will be sold to the public after September after the Olympics and Paralympic Games are over, but it is obvious that the compensation amount and management cost will be huge if postponement is postponed for one year with the apartment building completed.

In addition, if the Tokyo Organizing Committee is operated for a year, the cost will be added to hundreds of billions of won. In addition, reservations for various accommodations, transportation, and tourist transportation will be completely changed, which will cause a major setback. There are no sharp choices other than 'Force' in Japan, who are aware of these difficulties. This is because if you postpone one year, Japan becomes the biggest victim.

However, considering the current global trend of Corona 19, it is highly likely that the WHO will advise the IOC that it is difficult to hold the Tokyo Olympics in July. After all, delaying to July next year seems to be the only 'second best' for the IOC or the United States.

If the IOC or the United States proposes to postpone one year in late May, it is worth noting what Japan will finally make. With Corona 19, the world is experiencing many things that have never been experienced before. It is also a situation that cannot be ruled out that the modern Olympics, which has a history of 124 years, will occur in the odd-numbered year (2021) for the first time in history throughout the winter and summer.