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The progressive government coalition is playing a large part of its chances of survival with the result that Yolanda Díaz gets. If Sumar does not rise as the third most voted force, ahead of Vox, the accounts for a new left-wing government seem really complicated. Not to mention that in that scenario there would then be a sigh for a deadlock between the two sides and, with it, for there to be a repetition of the general elections.

The candidacy of the alternative left to the PSOE has been emphasizing throughout this campaign the importance of being "strong" and winning those of Abascal on 23-J and, specifically, has detected up to 19 provinces where their votes can be decisive to snatch the "last seat" from PP or Vox. To achieve a good booty in those places will depend on his block recovering ground against the conservative and the sums with ERC, Bildu or PNV can come into play.

Of those 19 key provinces, Díaz has visited 10 during this campaign. And in all of them he has underlined the same idea: that the vote for Sumar "is worth double", because it is "decisive" to reedit the coalition government and because, in addition, it puts a plus of ambition to that alliance to make progressive policies. It is what in the last week of the campaign he has called having "a better government".

The election night will have to be seen if it takes effect in Álava, Asturias, Balearic Islands, Barcelona, Córdoba, La Coruña, Castellón, Girona, Granada, Guipúzcoa, Huesca, Málaga, Murcia, Navarra, Pontevedra, Seville, Tarragona, Vizcaya and Zaragoza. In many of these provincial constituencies, he is trying to secure the seat given to him by most polls. In others it is about giving the last push to get it because either it is at risk by the rise of the right or directly because it is trying to get to fight it.

In this map, which lacks other provinces where the candidacy assumes that it will achieve representation -such as Madrid, Tenerife or Cádiz-, the enormous vacuum suffered by Sumar in interior and rural Spain is striking. They are areas that have been so lost that not even Díaz has stopped this campaign. There it seems that Vox has to win to achieve third place. But Sumar hopes to compensate with its results in Madrid, Catalonia, the Basque Country or Galicia, where they look much stronger.

His hope is, in fact, in the urban vote although he has also launched an offensive to attract women and young people, his other great assets. That, and that the coalition of 15 parties monetizes each vote of a left that on 28-M were dispersed.

Díaz closed yesterday in Madrid with Ione Belarra (Podemos), Mónica García (Más Madrid), Ada Colau (comunes) and Sira Rego (IU) trying to project an image of unity after reaching in mid-June a coalition with Podemos. A negotiation whose turbulence hindered the beginning. There was more talk about Irene Montero and the role of the purples than about the proposals. Diaz has not managed to shake off that ghost even on the last day. Belarra challenged her by digging into the wound and praising her. "Does anyone think that we would have a new generation of feminist rights if it were not for the fact that Irene Montero has been in charge of the Ministry of Equality?" He praised the law of only yes is yes, among others, and said that it bequeaths "a democratic heritage of women." "How proud we are," she concluded.

Díaz, in his final argument, said that he has "changed the script of the campaign" with proposals and "dismantling Feijóo." "Adding is the decisive force and the one that places Feijóo and the right in the opposition," he proclaimed, to appeal to achieve the "comeback" on 23-J.

In a festive event in the Tierno Galván park in Madrid, where some 6,000 people gathered according to the organization, the candidate wanted to raise spirits and hope that the leftist bloc can win the elections. " I have data. The polls are going badly, today we can win," he said. And he insisted: "Believe that we can win because it is true. Because even if no surveys are published, there is data and they are very nervous."


That is why he stressed his final message, with which he launched his last appeals to win the vote: "The force that defeats the PP and the ultras is called Sumar"; "the only political formation that right now is the bankruptcy of the PP is the rise of Sumar."


Díaz explained that his candidacy is the "decisive force" that "guarantees" repeating the progressive coalition and the one that tells the PSOE "we are not satisfied and we want more." Thus, he delved into asking for the vote, that with it two things are achieved: "That Abascal is not vice president" and that he will win "more rights" to "live better."

THE UNKNOWN OF DE DÍAZ'S PULL AT THE POLLS

IN 2019

The last bullet. Unidas Podemos and Más País -both within the Sumar coalition-, obtained a representation of 38 deputies.

THE LATEST POLL

Third party. Yolanda Díaz would be the third force, with between 35 and 38 deputies. Forming a government with the PSOE depends on the PP.

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