• The Panel The PP soars, gains ground to Vox and takes a difference of 45 seats to the PSOE
  • The Panel More PSOE voters see Feijóo as president than Sánchez

The majority of the citizens of the Autonomous Communities where on May 28 the polls left the governments to the albur of pacts advocate that the most voted list exercise power. This is the first conclusion that emerges from the Sigma Dos survey for EL MUNDO carried out in the autonomies in which there is no absolute majority. The second is that in the territories in which the right has managed to impose itself, more than half of its citizens – 54.6% – believe that the change of government will be positive.

61.8% of respondents in the communities that depend on the pacts opt to allow the party that has collected the largest number of ballots to govern than in the case of Extremadura, Asturias and the Canary Islands is the PSOE, while in Cantabria, Aragon, Valencia and Region of Murcia is the PP. In all these territories, except in Asturias, the popular, who clearly increase their harvest in votes and seats, have in their hand to occupy power by agreeing with Vox.

The bet of the voters in favor of the most voted list is modulated when it is lowered to each of the communities but when the question is asked at a general level, without distinguishing between the particularities of each of them, it is clear. Only 26.6% are against this principle.

In support of the fact that whoever has obtained the most ballots at the polls occupies the government, the majority manifests itself without distinction of ideology. With one exception: those who bet in the 2019 general elections for the formations located to the left of the PSOE. This group of voters is the only one in which a majority - 48.8% against 38.8% - reneges on the formula of the most voted list.

In the case of socialist voters, those who are in favor of the most supported party although it has not achieved an absolute majority, exceed by 25 points, which they are against. Among popular voters, the percentage of those who advocate letting the most voted candidate govern shoots up: 74% compared to 13.6%. Not surprisingly, this principle has been defended by its leader, Alberto Núñez Feijóo.

It is clear that, after the result of the regional elections, if this formula is applied, the PP would accede to power in five autonomies without the need for any agreement with the extreme right. The most burdensome counterpart for the popular would be to cede the Executive of Extremadura to the PSOE, where Guillermo Fernández Vara has barely surpassed the popular candidate, María Guardiola, by four hundredths or, if you prefer, by 6,276 votes. In this autonomy PSOE and PP have tied in seats, with a nuance no less: the Socialists have lost six compared to those achieved in 2019, while the popular rise eight.

In Cantabria, Aragon, Valencia, Region of Murcia and the Balearic Islands the count in voters and seats in favor of the PP does not offer discussion although only with its results it does not reach an absolute majority.

The commitment to the premise of the most voted list acquires more nuances when citizens pronounce themselves thinking about the situation of their autonomy. However, there is still a majority – 32.5% – who consider that the PSOE should facilitate the Government to the PP, compared to 24.9% who would prefer that PP and Vox reach an agreement to govern in coalition and 21.4% who advocate that Vox support the PP but without claiming to enter the Government.

38.3% of socialist voters and 42% of voters to its left are betting that the PSOE will allow the PP to govern without forcing it to agree with Vox. On the contrary, popular voters prefer that it is Vox who supports the PP but without demanding to be part of the Executive. Vox voters, evidently, prefer that their party touches power by agreeing with the popular a coalition to govern.

In Extremadura, the Canary Islands and Asturias where the most voted list has been the socialist, the majority believes that the PSOE should agree with nationalists, independentists or radical left to remain in power. However, at a very short distance are those who believe that the PP should facilitate the Government to the PSOE. For the first option is inclined 19.6% and for the second, 16.6%.

Already with an eye on the general elections called for 23-J, in the middle of summer, 21% of voters say they will request the vote by mail with all certainty or very likely, while 60.3% indicate that they will not.

  • PP
  • PSOE
  • To:
  • Asturias
  • Aragon
  • Cantabria
  • Canary Islands
  • Extremadura
  • THE WORLD
  • Alberto Núñez Feijóo
  • Guillermo Fernandez Vara
  • Parental Pin

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