In Statistics Sweden's (SCB) latest population projection, Sweden's population is expected to increase to 10.9 million in 2030.
According to the projection, population growth is due to 300,000 more immigrants than emigrants, and 100,000 to more births than deaths.
In 2032, the population is expected to pass 11 million, and in 2054 Sweden will reach 12 million.
The Tidö agreement may affect
Every year, Statistics Sweden publishes a projection of the population. It is described in the short term as a forecast. In the longer term, it is described as a calculation based on the assumption that the behaviours, trends, rules and general conditions that exist today will remain the same in the future.
Several factors can thus complicate the forecast – such as the Tidö agreement.
"Changes in society can already in the short term cause the conditions for projection to change. In the Tidö Agreement, for example, there are several proposals that, when there are decisions, can be of great importance, primarily for the assumptions about migration, says Karin Lundström, demographer at Statistics Sweden, in a press release.
More elderly
In the future, a larger proportion of the population is expected to be aged 80 or over. Right now, that group represents 5 percent of the population, while the corresponding figure in 2030 is expected to be 7.4.
More older people will also be part of the labour market, which is due to the fact that the retirement age has then been raised from 65 to 67. Overall, it is estimated that the proportion of working-age people will increase slightly as a result of this. Right now, 50.9 percent of the population is aged 25-64, and by 2030, the group 25-66 is expected to correspond to 52.5 of the population.