• December 2022 Barometer Survey: Juan Espadas' PSOE falls to catastrophic lows

A repetition of the regional elections today would yield a result very similar to that harvested at the polls in June 2022, with an absolute majority of the PP and the PSOE behind, at 18 points, according to the barometer published on Monday by the Center for Andalusian Studies (CENTRA), dependent on the Junta de Andalucía.

Despite this, the Andalusian PP accuses a slight setback that would make it lose 1 or 2 deputy, while the PSOE could improve discreetly, with 1 more deputy, which could be the reflection of the timid wear and tear in the management of the Government of Juanma Moreno after two months of intense political battle in relation to an issue of maximum topicality, that of health management, in which the opposition has brought out all its political artillery, including mobilization in the street.

The footprint of the confrontation over the management of health services would be, in any case, still insignificant in the intention to vote with respect to what happened in the last regional elections, although it could have served the PSOE to stop the bleeding of support since, in the previous barometer, held in December, the PSOE lost between 7 and 8 seats with respect to what was obtained in the June elections, while the PP improved its results, with up to 60 possible seats (58-60).

The CENTRA barometer, which is published every three months, predicts that the PP would obtain today 42.2% of the votes and between 56 and 57 deputies, compared to the 58 it currently has in Parliament. The PSOE would receive 24.2% of the vote and between 30 and 31 seats, in line with the 30 it currently has, although improving significantly and reversing the downward trend that the September and December polls showed.

Vox would again be today the third political force, with 13.4% of the support and between 12 and 13 seats, which would mean losing 1 or 2 deputies, since in June it got 14.

The study shows, on the other hand, a significant improvement in the results of Por Andalucía, which would get 8.5% of the votes, which could translate into between 8 and 9 deputies compared to the 5 it currently has. While Adelante Andalucía would be left with 3.3% of the votes and only 1 seat compared to the 2 it obtained in June. Ciudadanos, again, would be left out of the Andalusian Parliament.

The study was based on 3,600 interviews conducted between 7 and 21 March.

  • PSOE
  • PP
  • CIS
  • CIS Survey
  • Andalusia Elections
  • Articles Teresa López Pavón
  • Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla
  • Juan Espadas

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