Jair Bolsonaro arrives strongly at the decisive week in Brazil against a Lula trapped in the "bubble of the left"

• Brazil Bolsonarist deputy says that young people who support Lula deserve "to be burned"

• Brazil Bolsonaro apologizes for his insults to Venezuelan teenagers

Jair Bolsonaro has a serious chance of being re-elected as president of Brazil.

Does this mean that Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva cannot win the ballot?

No, the former president is still the favourite, but by a shrinking margin against a Bolsonaro who has been growing in recent weeks.

"If in the first round there was still a fear among the Bolsonaristas that Lula could win in the first round, the climate is now one of optimism," highlighted this weekend

, a media outlet that cannot be precisely labeled as a Bolsonarista: the current president dedicated himself to attacking him one day in and another throughout his four years in the Planalto Palace.

Nor can Marta Suplicy, a friend of Lula and a historical figure of the Workers' Party (PT), be considered a Bolsonarist.

Former mayor of Sao Paulo, former minister of Lula and Dilma Rousseff and current director of International Relations of the largest Brazilian city, Suplicy sees the final stretch of the campaign with fear.

"Lula comes to my house, and I give him advice that he does not follow

," Suplicy revealed to

, who at 77 years old analyzes the political reality of Brazil without prejudice.

The former president should have "expanded" his coalition, but "he did not do what he should," laments the former deputy.

"It's hard to win with just the left, staying in the left bubble," she adds.

"And now the results are seen, what we have always said, that everything is very even with Bolsonaro and that this was not necessary.

."

Suplicy adds something else: Lula himself told him that he agrees with that analysis when he raised it, but there are forces in his party that prevented him from taking that path.

"He agrees, but there is a bubble that does not accept it. I think he will win, but he will be very tight."

Suplicy's analysis could be questioned based on the strong irruption in the campaign of the center-right Simone Tebet, third in the first round and who in recent days has been making passionate speeches in defense of Lula, since, in her opinion, four More years of Bolsonaro in the Planalto would be a danger to democracy.

But Tebet's presence in the campaign comes in the context of a PT-led coalition that shaped a nostalgic campaign: rather than talking about the future,

, and he often promises that he will do the same.

Bolsonaro, on the other hand, talks about issues closer in time: "Brazil has one of the cheapest gasoline in the world and has been in deflation for three consecutive months."

These economic data, added to the electoralist increase in social subsidies to the most neglected sectors, are helping to bring the president closer in the polls, which seriously failed in the first round by underestimating the number of votes for the right-wing candidate.

technical draw

The latest polls show a 49% intention to vote for Lula against 45% for Bolsonaro

.

If you consider the margin of error of two points up or down, you can say that you are facing a technical tie.

If Lula shows the support of many leaders in the world of culture, Bolsonaro has the increasingly enthusiastic impulse of the soccer player Neymar and a very intense role of Michelle.

The first lady was decisive in reducing damage to the "affair" of Venezuelan adolescents, whom the president marked as prostitutes when they were only dressing and putting on makeup on a Saturday morning, like so many young women in the world their age.

Lula called the president a pedophile, but the strategy does not seem to have worked.

With the possibility of increasing his already enormous flow of votes in the south of the country, Bolsonaro reached an agreement with mayors and evangelical churches to reduce his disadvantage in the Northeast, key to the 48.4 against 43.2 in favor of Lula in the first round.

The latest polls show that this strategy, added to social subsidies, is working for the president.

A Bolsonaro who will have a great presence on television in these final days.

, which will thus become interviews with the president in prime time.

The key date will be this Friday the 28th, when Lula and Bolsonaro meet for the closing debate on TV Globo, just two days before 156 million Brazilians are called to the polls.

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