The scenarios take into account possible new and more infectious virus variants that have a greater ability to evade the immune system.
If the spread increases, it means in the long run that the need for hospital care increases.
"Because there are so many uncertainty factors surrounding the development of the spread of infection, the scenarios are very difficult to calculate.
This particularly applies to the characteristics of any new virus variants, which affects when they could take over and how quickly it would happen," says unit manager Lisa Brouwers, in a press release.
FHM also presents a scenario where the spread of infection decreases during the autumn.
The scenarios extend from 20 October 2022 to 20 January 2023. FHM still emphasizes that it is important that the vaccination program is maintained and that you stay at home if you have symptoms of covid-19.