The "Shiite House" presents three scenarios to form the Iraqi government

Salah Hassan Baban - Erbil

During the past few days, the Iraqi political scene witnessed an active movement within the corridors of the Shiite house, which resulted in the formation of a "seven-party" committee of Shiite forces to agree on a "non-controversial" figure to run for prime minister.

The Shiite movement comes after Muhammad Allawi’s apology for forming the government at the end of last month, because he was unable to persuade the political forces of his government formation that is far from quotas.

Informed political sources indicate that the Shiite "Seven" Committee was formed under Iranian pressure to reunite the Shiite house after its failure to agree on a figure that takes into account the demands of the demonstrators and the religious authority.

The Seven Committee was composed - according to the sources - from: Ahmad al-Fatlawi for the stream of wisdom, in the name of al-Awadi for the victory coalition, Haider al-Fawadi for the Ata bloc, and Abd al-Hussein al-Musawi for al-Fadila, while Nabil al-Tarfi came from the Alliance of Saireon, Adnan Fayhan from the Alliance of Fateh, and Hassan al-Sunaid from State of Law Coalition.

Three scenarios
The Shiite deputy, Nada Shaker, confirmed that the committee's consultations reached 14 names to run for prime minister, and after intensifying the talks, they were reduced to four names to present one of them to the President of the Republic after agreeing to him inside the Shiite house.

Informed sources indicate that three scenarios came out of the recommendations of the Seven Committee, including: the survival of Adel Abdul Mahdi in office until early elections, and the second is the nomination of former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki to the post, while the third scenario includes the selection of a personality that receives the approval of the Kurds and Sunnis.

Representative Nada denied the first and second scenarios, and emphasized that the Abdul Mahdi government lost its "legitimacy" after killing hundreds of demonstrators in recent months, attributing the reason to the failures that his government has witnessed in security, breach of sovereignty, economic collapse, widespread corruption and the sale of positions, and this prompted the protesters to protest since the beginning Last October.

For its part, Sunni forces have called for the necessity of changing the existing system of government and bringing in a new personality for the prime minister, according to the representative of the Sunni forces, Muhammad al-Abd Rabu, explaining that one of the priorities of the Sunnis to negotiate with the Shiite forces on forming a government is to change the formation of Abdul-Mahdi, because it failed to manage the state and conduct repairs.

And Abd al-Rabu assured Al-Jazeera Net that introducing a new personality to form a government is the best option, as it is in line with the demands of the demonstrators. He suggested that the Shiite forces could not choose a "non-dialectical" figure, as required by the demonstrators and the religious authority, as well as the Sunni and Kurdish parties.

In turn, political analyst Ghiath Surji believes that the Shiite forces will try to win over the Sunni and Kurdish parties in various ways to pass their candidate to form the government to open a new page with the demonstrators, explaining to Al-Jazeera Net that "the failure of the second candidate after Allawi in forming the government will put the Shiite forces in a dilemma and this is not a consequence of its consequences." .

Kurdish demands
In contrast, the name of the candidate to form the government does not matter as much as implementing the constitutional obligations related to the annual budget and financial dues for the Kurds.

The Kurdish parties support any political party or program presented by the Shiite parties, provided that they believe in achieving the demands of the Kurds and the federal system within the Iraqi state, according to the coordinator of the Kurdish Movement for Information Change, Dalir Abdel-Khaleq.

Abdel-Khalek assured Al-Jazeera Net that "not to entrap the region's dues in political conflicts, in addition to preventing foreign interference, fighting corruption and restoring confidence between citizens and the federal government, is our basic condition for negotiating with the Shiite blocs about forming the next government."

Abdel-Khaleq believes that saving Iraq from the current situation and achieving the demands of the demonstrators needs a person who deals in accordance with the constitution with the region and all Iraqi parties and components.

He pointed to the need for the candidate for prime minister within the transitional period to prepare for fair and transparent elections, so that the people elect their candidates with absolute freedom and faith.

Bet on time
The activist in the Iraqi demonstrations, Star Mohsen, believes that the authority in Iraq is betting on time to disperse the gatherings of demonstrators and circumvent their demands in tortuous ways.

Mohsen confirmed to Al-Jazeera Net that "the demonstrations were not Shiite against a Shiite authority as much as they are against corruption as a whole, whether it is at the top of the mountain or at the farthest point in the square."

Mohsen expected the inability of the round table in Baghdad to come out to meet the aspirations of the demonstrators and the formation of a transparent government, adding that everything that is happening at the moment to form the government is not different from the scenarios after 2003.

He pointed to the inability of the Shiite parties to come up with a personality with the required specifications, most notably independence and a move away from quotas.

According to the Iraqi constitution, if the political forces fail to agree on a candidate to form the government before the 15th of this month, the President of the Republic will replace the Prime Minister for a period of 15 days, extendable for a period of one month, and during this period a character must be chosen and the government formed.