Algerian protestors made a big gain after President Abdelaziz Bouteflika, or a member of his tribe, announced that he would not run for the fifth time.

Since February 22, the Algerian street in all cities and many towns has been demanding that the 82-year-old president, who had a stroke in 2013, step down after a series of serious illnesses and has rarely seen or heard since. He was elected for the first time in 1999, and his lack of respect for the constitutional periods in which he worked, symbolized his government's contempt for the people he was supposed to serve.

Half of the country's 42 million people, Africa's largest in terms of area, are under 30 years old, and most of them are unemployed and have no future but to think of emigrating from the state. In fact, the Algerians have emigrated to France and other European countries, as well as North America, since the First World War. However, immigration is an influential issue in former colonial countries. Consequently, what happens next is an issue that goes beyond the Algerian state itself. The decline of the state towards political chaos may lead to greater waves of migration than usual, while the success of a successful transitional period towards freedom and democracy promised by the anti-colonial movement would be a good influence for Algeria, perhaps North Africa and beyond that.

In his message to his people, the president, who returned to Algeria from a Geneva hospital, said he would call for a national constitutional conference aimed at establishing a "new" republic. The date of the April 18 election was postponed indefinitely.

The announcement was an attempt to stop or reduce anti-regime demonstrations. But the demonstrators did not take this announcement seriously, and considered it merely an insult to them and to the people in general. The Government's steps in the accomplishment of its announced declaration, as well as its speed of holding a national conference, will be closely monitored.

If meetings are organized, and even conferences, competing outside government control, the extent of the balance between demonstrations and political changes will determine whether the state will fail or succeed in the coming years.

It is well known that national conferences leading to constitutional conferences have happy results and can also lead to disasters. In any case, the balance of power among political actors in Algeria is a mystery even for most Algerians, if not all.

The army, whose commander-in-chief Bouteflika emptied him of most feared and powerful figures. Chief of Staff Ahmed Kayed Saleh is loyal to Bouteflika and has previously warned that although these demonstrations are legitimate, they could pose a threat to national security.

Qaid Saleh did not say what he meant, but Algerians do not need to recall what happened in the 1990s, where a civil war that destroyed whole villages killed 200,000 people, according to official estimates. But this war ended when Bouteflika came to power in 1999, setting up reconciliation and peace policies that included amnesty for rebel Islamists.

Threatening tip

It is not known whether General Saleh hinted that the threat was still present. No one knows how loyal and cohesive the armed forces are at the moment, whether the ruling political class is ready to pursue the "new republic" adventure, and there are constitutional and local rules of authority that can become political teams.

The United States and France have not explicitly stated their position since the end of the system. French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Laudrian expressed his satisfaction with the peaceful demonstrations and was quick to congratulate Bouteflika on his decision to resign and develop the political system. French President Emmanuel Macaron flew to Djibouti to stress France's influence in sub-Saharan Africa. McCron himself has his own worrying protests, as well as European elections in May.

State Department spokesman Robert Paladino said last week that "the United States supports the Algerian people and their right to peaceful assembly." The headquarters of the US Sixth Fleet in Naples, Italy, about 200 nautical miles from Algiers .

In fact, with the exception of the dissolution of differences between the nationalist factions after France left Algeria and the Islamists in the 1990s, the Algerian army was often used only to suppress those trying to express political discontent in the Kabylie region.

In fact, the collapse of the system will have many serious consequences, such as the unprecedented high rate of immigration and the low export of energy on which Europe depends. As usual, the much-affected Algerian people will be the most affected, but no interventions for Americans or French are not forthcoming.

The Algerian protests have been steadfast in rejecting violence. After the disasters and tragedies of reform attempts in the Arab world, Algerians seem to be winning a good victory by renouncing violence, and they must keep it.

- If organized

Meetings, and even

Conferences, competing

Outside control

Government, the extent

Balancing between

Events and changes

Political is

Which will be determined

Whether the state

Will fail or succeed

In years

Coming.