The list The Republic on the move comes at the top of voting intentions in the next European elections, up four points, ahead of the National Gathering up slightly, according to an Elabe poll for BFMTV released Wednesday. After four months of voting and after two months of movement of "yellow vests", the list LREM allied with the MoDem is credited with 23.5% (+4 points) and is now ahead of the FN (20.5%, +0.5 ).
LR in decline. The list follows Republicans credited by 12.5%, down 2.5 points since the previous Elabe survey in November, conducted before the start of the crisis of "yellow vests", then LFI (9.5%, -1 , 5), EELV (9%, +2), PS (6%, -1) and France (5%, -1.5). These voting intentions show the same trend as an Ifop poll released last week. Below the 5% mark needed to win elected representatives among the 79 French MEPs to fill, we find the UDI (3%, -1), the movement of Benoît Hamon Générations (2%, -0.5% ), the PCF (2%, -0.5), and Patriots Florian Philippot (1.5%, +0.5).
In case of list "yellow vests". The polling institute is also testing the hypothesis of a list representing the movement of "yellow vests", which would mainly harm the RN and Debout France. In this configuration, LREM (allied to MoDem and Agir) would lead with 22.5% of the vote, with the former National Front at 17.5%. LR (11.5%), EELV (8.5%), LFI (8%), PS (5%) follow. Below the 5% mark, are DLF (3.5%), UDI (3%), PCF (2%), Génération.s (1.5%) and Patriotes (0.5%).
Survey conducted online January 22 and 23, with 1,000 people aged 18 and over, according to the quota method. Margin of error from 1.4 to 3.1 points.
Voting intentions do not constitute a forecast of results. They give an indication of the balance of power and dynamics on the day of the survey.