"There is no justification for pessimism in 2019 despite all the geopolitical changes taking place in the world, especially the rise in the risk of cyber attacks, the fifth-generation war of technology between China and the United States, and the continuing conflict," said Ian Bremer, president and founder of Euro Asia Group, an international policy research group. The growing popularity of the European Parliament, and the implications of the BRICEST agreement.

Bremer predicted that tensions among GCC member states will decline in 2019, citing the presence of Qatar in the recent GCC summit in Riyadh. He predicted that the Yemeni war would lead to calm and that the gradual measures to build confidence would be a way to ensure a solution to the issue, Which was finally hosted by Sweden.

He said during the opening session of the 11th session of the Arab Strategic Forum, which will be hosted by Dubai under the theme "Major Events Affecting the World in 2019", the geopolitical changes, despite their gravity, are not the negative impact that is being talked about, considering that the global economy despite all these changes remains Consistent.

Bremer predicted that cyber attacks would cost billions of dollars as the world faces more, giving three examples of the growing global cyber attacks costing billions in exchange for the entrenched economic structures to deal with them. The first is rapid dealing with North Korean piracy of millions of bank accounts, . The Chinese government has cracked accounts and data for hotel customers not for security reasons, but for business, but it has been remedied, while the Russian government has used a program to penetrate Ukraine, affecting 1% of the total income of Ukraine.

On US-China relations, Bremer ruled out US President Donald Trump's declaration of a trade war against China in the first quarter of 2019. He denied that he would have the ability to take further escalatory measures, saying he did not expect the US- Vladimir Putin and Trump at the G20, despite the recent Russian media campaigns against President Trump after the cancellation of the meeting.

Bremer said that although most geopolitical indicators are negative, such as the catastrophic bricast negotiations that Teresa May predicted by January 2019, and crises like yellow jackets, markets are still rational and still work, but he expected the world to face bigger problems in dealing with an economic crisis New world if it occurs, which is ruled out in 2019.

Bremer said that the financial crisis in 2008 witnessed the cooperation of everyone in the world and the G20 countries to deal with the crisis, but the political world, as it is today, will not be ready as it should to manage the crisis effectively for several reasons. The world economy was in a stable state, but it needed to ensure sustainability.

Bremer emphasized that the Chinese-US e-war will be launched in 2019 to launch the fifth generation of communication technology that supports smart cities and Internet things. China has a different system from the fifth-generation system applied by the United States, and is trying to spread it to the countries of the world, which will make the markets feel disintegration and polarization.

He stressed that the strength of American institutions, expected to maintain the course of US policy in the world, considering that even after two years of the presidency of Trump, US institutions remain strong, and not the US presidency influence on the issues of ongoing investigations and immigration and prevent the entry of nationals of some countries.

In the Middle East, Bremer said that US President Donald Trump might not announce what is known as the deal of the century, which he wanted to embody his vision of peace in the Middle East during the presidential elections. Bremer noted that US policy in the long run tends to ease intervention in the Middle East.

European populism

Bremer predicted that the European parliamentary elections in May 2019 would witness the rise of populism in EU institutions, given the growing disparity between supporters and critics of the Union more sharply, and Britain's exit from the European Union. He expected China to continue its efforts to expand its presence in the region, while he felt that the Russians have limited interests in the region.