On the 2nd, 232 new infections with the new coronavirus were confirmed in Tokyo.
Now, the decrease of newly infected people is slowing down in Tokyo.
Why is the decline slowing down in Tokyo as the "state of emergency" in the Tokyo metropolitan area reaches its deadline on the 7th of this month?
What happens to the cancellation of the state of emergency?
We have compiled the latest information.
Why slow down?
At the health center
In Kita-ku, Tokyo, the number of newly infected people increased significantly in January to 944, but then started to decrease to 263 last month, which is less than one-third.
However, it has stopped declining since the middle of last month.
In the week leading up to the 12th of last month, there were 43 newly infected people, but the following week, the number has increased to 62.
Regarding this factor, the Kita Ward Health
Center
has pointed out that ▽
infections of the elderly are occurring one after another at nursing care facilities and medical institutions, and
▽ infections related to eating and drinking such as dinner are continuing.
"A strong feeling of stopping lowering"
Hideo Maeda, Director of Kita Ward Health Center
"There is a strong sense that the number of infected people has stopped declining. It is possible that the number of infected people will not decrease significantly as it is, so measures should be strengthened regardless of whether the declaration is lifted."
The situation in Tokyo as a whole
Next, let's take a closer look at the situation in Tokyo as a whole.
In Tokyo, a total of 10,997 infections were confirmed in the last month.
Of these, the percentage of people whose infection route was known was
▽ most
common at
home at 44.7%,
▽ at facilities at 37.1%,
▽ at work at 6.7%, and
▽ dinner at 2.9%.
Factors 1. Outbreaks in "facility for the elderly"
Institutions are the second highest after homes, but outbreaks are occurring one after another in "facility for the elderly" and "medical institutions" in Tokyo.
According to an analysis by the Tokyo Metropolitan Government, there were 58 outbreaks of 3 or more people in Tokyo by the 21st of last month, and by facility,
▽ the most common was 32 cases of "facility for the elderly", 55%. ,
then
▽ "medical institution" is 26% in the review 15,
▽ "enterprise" was a 9% 5.
On the other hand, in January,
▽ "facility for the elderly" was the largest with 63 cases, accounting for 45% of the total,
followed by
▽ "medical institution" with 38 cases, 27%, and
▽ "school / educational facility" with 15 cases, 11 cases. %was.
Last month, “facility for the elderly” and “medical institutions” together accounted for 81% of all outbreaks, up from 73% in January.
According to the city, there
were cases where
infections at facilities for the elderly
spread ▽ triggered by staff, and
▽
cases
where several people were found to be infected and almost all of them were infected when they were inspected. about it.
Factor 2. Younger generation still many
Infections in the younger generation, especially in their 20s and 30s, are still increasing.
Looking at the number of people confirmed to be infected last month by age
group, 2091 people in their 20s accounted for 19.0% of the total,
followed
by 1787 people in their 30s, 16.2%, and
1553 people in their 40s. It is 14.1%.
Although the overall proportion is small, the younger the generation, the more prominent the cases of infection at dinner and at work.
Of the total 159 people at dinner,
56 people in their 20s accounted for 35.2%, and
36 people in
their 30s
accounted for 22.6%,
accounting for about 60% of
those in
their 20s and 30s.
Expert "Need to further reduce the number of infected people"
Professor Atsuro Hamada, Tokyo Medical University (Familiar with infectious diseases)
"Although the number of infected people has decreased compared to the year-end and New Year holidays, there has been no significant decrease recently, and there are signs of rebound in Chiba Prefecture and elsewhere. In addition, the number of infected people in Tokyo, which is around 300 people a day, is not much different from the peak of the second wave last summer. It is necessary to further reduce the number of infected people than the current situation. "There is a
concern that the number of infected people will increase again at an early stage if the emergency declaration is lifted in the Tokyo metropolitan area as it is and the flow of people increases. Shouldn't it be done with the number of infected people reduced a little more? In order to further reduce the number of infected people, it is necessary to avoid dinner even in the coming personnel changes and graduation season. "
Metropolitan area 1 metropolitan area 3 prefectures Infection status "Declaration" cancellation
Under these circumstances, the state of emergency issued to each of the three prefectures in the Tokyo metropolitan area will expire on Sunday, the 7th of this month, five days later.
Governor Koike of Tokyo and others have taken a cautious stance to release the infection if the number of infected people has not decreased sufficiently and there is no further improvement in the infection situation.
The announcement of infection confirmation in 1 metropolitan area and 3 prefectures on the 2nd was
▽ 232 in Tokyo,
102 in Saitama
,
▽
87 in Chiba, which exceeded Tokyo on the 1st, and
▽ Kanagawa. Was 84 people.
Cancellation of "declaration" Governor's reaction
Governor of Tokyo Koike “There is a possibility that the declaration cannot be canceled”
The Tokyo Metropolitan Government aims to keep the average of 7 days of infection confirmation to 70% or less of the previous week, but it has exceeded this standard for 12 consecutive days as of one day.
Governor Koike told reporters at the Tokyo Metropolitan Government that "Sunday has increased from a week ago, rather than stopping. I have always aimed to reduce the 7-day average to less than 70% of the previous week, but about 80%. , Close to 90%. "
On top of that, "There is an analysis that there may be a situation where it is not possible to make it in time unless the gear of countermeasures is raised. It is necessary to summarize what kind of method is good while cooperating in 1 metropolitan area and 3 prefectures." He suggested that the state of emergency may not be lifted unless further improvements such as infection status are seen.
Governor Morita of Chiba Prefecture "It is very difficult to cancel on the 7th if tomorrow increases"
Governor Morita of Chiba Prefecture told reporters, "The number of infected people is uneven. Tomorrow, and if the number of infected people increases, it will be very difficult to release it on the 7th."
He said that it was necessary to keep pace in one of the three prefectures in the metropolitan area, and said, "If the current situation continues, I would like the country to make a decision." Depending on the infection situation, the state of emergency may be extended. He showed his thoughts on seeking the country.
Governor Ohno of Saitama Prefecture "I will do my best until the 7th"
Governor Ohno of Saitama Prefecture said about the infection status of the new coronavirus in Saitama Prefecture, "The bed usage rate is extremely high at the 40% level. In the future, no further burden will be placed on medical institutions that are also responsible for vaccination." He expressed a sense of crisis ahead of the deadline for declaring the situation.
On top of that, "Thanks to everyone who was able to reduce the number of newly infected people to this extent, we will do our utmost to reduce the number of infected people by the 7th so as not to negate the efforts so far. I want to list it. "
In addition, he said that he would discuss future measures in 1 metropolitan area and 3 prefectures within the week, and said, "I would like to adjust the direction in which the government will be requested in one voice in 1 metropolitan area and 3 prefectures."
Cancellation of "declaration" Restaurant "Cancellation policy and detailed information"
Izakaya in Tokyo, which has been closed due to the state of emergency, expressed anxiety about the uncertain future.
The izakaya in Shinjuku-ku, Tokyo has been temporarily closed since January in response to the declaration of emergency, and if it is canceled on the 7th of this month, it will resume operations on the 8th of the following day. I will.
However, it is said that it is not possible to decide when to resume business because there is no information such as whether shortening of business hours will be requested after the declaration is lifted and what will happen to the cooperation fee.
Even at the stage of 2 days, which is 5 days before the deadline for declaration, the refrigerator remains empty because the ingredients cannot be purchased, and the staff of the part-time job is not clearly told when to start working.
In addition, the governors of Chiba and Saitama prefectures are cautious about the cancellation, and I am worried that the future is uncertain.
Kazuyuki Kadokura, Manager of "Waso Sora Nishi-Shinjuku" "No
information was given about whether the state of emergency will be canceled as planned or a request for a shorter time, and preparations for resuming business such as purchasing ingredients and securing staff have been made at all. The biggest problem is that there is no such thing. I would like the government and Tokyo to provide the cancellation policy and detailed information as soon as possible. "
Prime Minister Suga “Ultimately Judging”
In connection with the fact that Governor Koike of Tokyo and others are cautious about canceling the state of emergency, Prime Minister Suga will make a final decision based on the opinions of experts after assessing changes in the infection situation. He emphasized the idea of his own judgment.
On the night of the 2nd, Prime Minister Suga told reporters at the Prime Minister's Office, "First of all, I would like to consult with experts and other related parties by looking at the numbers, and finally I would like to make a decision. Anyway, the infection has spread now. I think we should do our best to prevent it. "
In addition, when asked if the cancellation or extension of the declaration would be judged as one city and three prefectures, he said, "Because one city and three prefectures are related in many ways, that will be the case." ..
Minister of Economic Revitalization Nishimura “Advisory Committee Opening Judgment”
After the Cabinet meeting, the Minister for Economic Revitalization Nishimura told reporters about the state of emergency that continues in the Tokyo metropolitan area in 1 metropolitan area and 3 prefectures. "Every day, we are scrutinizing the standard indicators. We share the idea that we will not prolong the declaration. "
After that, he said, "I want to see the data as close as possible to the last minute, but I want to make a decision at the right time because it can not be too short," he said, "I want to make a decision at the right time this week before the deadline of 7th of this month." He held an advisory committee and expressed his intention to make a decision.
In addition, Minister Nishimura said, "I would like you to continue to pay the utmost attention to eating and drinking opportunities even in the areas that have been lifted. If you eat as before, the infection will surely increase, and the same thing as last December. When eating, I chose a restaurant that had infection prevention measures, and when talking, I called for thorough measures such as wearing a mask.
Keizai Doyukai Representative Secretary Sakurada “Careful Judgment”
At a regular press conference on the 2nd, Keizai Doyukai's secretary-general said, "We must protect both the economy and life," regarding the deadline for declaring an emergency to the metropolitan area's 1 metropolitan area and 3 prefectures on the 7th of this month. It's a difficult decision. However, looking at the Japanese economy, although it seems to be mottled for each company, there is a sense of bottoming out in business performance. "
On top of that, regarding the timing of declaring the declaration, "I think the economy will recover little by little even if you don't open the gate in a hurry. At least it's not that you should open the gate immediately because you are worried about the economy." He said that the government should make a careful decision, taking into account the intentions of the governors of each of the three prefectures.