France recorded a little more than 11,000 cases of coronavirus on Sunday in 24 hours.

A figure well above the target set at 5,000 contaminations by the government to lift the containment measures on December 15. 

Is deconfinement really going to take place on December 15?

The government has announced an easing of restrictive measures to fight the coronavirus, provided that the target of 5,000 daily contaminations is met.

However, the figures of the last few days do not encourage optimism.

On Sunday, France recorded a little more than 11,000 cases in 24 hours, well above the target.

And, according to the latest projections, it would be complicated to achieve it.

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A beginning of relaxation?

Contamination has indeed stagnated for a few days: 10,000 cases on Friday, 10,500 Saturday and 11,000 Sunday.

They are even slightly increasing in certain departments such as the Gold Coast, Ille-et-Vilaine and Landes.

On Sunday, the positivity rate was 10.7%, unchanged for three days, after several weeks of decline. 

Several avenues are mentioned to explain this "plateau", in particular the reopening of non-essential stores.

The cold, which encourages people to see themselves more indoors, is also advanced.

Some epidemiologists also explain it by the speech of Emmanuel Macron on November 24, which announced a decline in the pandemic and the prospects of deconfinement.

Problem: Good news usually comes with a start to slack off.

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The fear of a scenario similar to Thanksgiving in the United States

The target of 5,000 cases per day by December 15 should therefore not be reached.

With this trend of a prolonged "plateau", it is impossible to know when the objective set by the government will be reached.

The example of the United States, where contaminations exploded after Thanksgiving, is also a cause for concern.

For two weeks, the daily number of deaths across the Atlantic has been regularly above 2,000, as was the case in the spring, during the peak of the first wave of the pandemic.

What to give knots to the brains of epidemiologists, who warn of a risk of rebound of the pandemic during the Christmas holidays.