In the spotlight: the economic repercussions of the Covid in Africa

Audio 04:19

At Baragwanath Hospital in Soweto, South Africa, a volunteer receives an injection of potential treatment for the novel coronavirus, June 24, 2020. Siphiwe Sibeko / Reuters

By: Frédéric Couteau Follow

9 min

Publicity

With the coronavirus,

" everything stopped suddenly " 

: Africa mourns its missing tourists

 ". 

Report established by

Le Monde Afrique

.

And this is one of the most visible consequences of the pandemic.

“ 

Arrivals of international travelers fell 57% in the first half of the year.

The crisis in the sector could lead to the destruction of 7 to 17 million jobs in this year 2020.

 "

Example in Senegal: “ 

For six months

, reports

Le Monde Afrique, Marcel Diouf has bravely repeated the same sentence to himself.

"It will be fine, Inch'Allah".

The Senegalese hotelier refuses to give in to catastrophism, even though his hostel located in Mbodiène, on the Petite-Côte, 100 km south of Dakar, remains desperately empty.

Every morning, the staff opens the eleven rooms, cleans the yard, maintains the swimming pool.

"Then we connect to the Internet but there are no reservations, not even from our traditional customers from France and Canada. The high season is however supposed to start in October",

says Mr. Diouf, who admits to struggling more and more. more to pay the wages of its seven employees.

International flights may have resumed in mid-July in Senegal, tourists continue to keep their distance

, notes

Le Monde Afrique, scalded by the unpredictable evolution of the Covid-19 pandemic across the planet.

The country is experiencing the same setbacks as its African peers.

From Morocco to South Africa, from Cape Verde to Ethiopia, tourism has experienced a sudden and prolonged halt across the continent.

 "

The only one that does

: the manufacturing sector

Only one sector seems spared from the Covid-19 crisis in Africa: the manufacturing sector.

This is

what

Jeune Afrique points out

 : “

 While this crisis affects almost all areas of economic activity, the manufacturing sector seems to be less affected than services - particularly tourism and transport - or than raw materials.

The World Bank even estimated in April that the impact of this crisis on added value would be positive in 2020, with a gain of + 5% for production in the manufacturing sector, due to the replacement of imported products by local products. .

(…)

It remains to be seen, asks

Jeune Afrique

, whether the African manufacturing sector will show resilience, in the medium term, in the face of a crisis of an unprecedented nature and scale

.

"Precisely, it could perhaps" 

benefit in part from the replacement of imported products by those from local production.

 "

No salvation without a strengthened private sector

So what global solutions for the continent's economy?

In an article

published by

Le Point Africa

, several economic and political leaders believe that " 

the

Africa must absolutely have the means to develop its private sector.

 "

The observation is alarming: " 

If Africa will still remain the first growth zone for the years to come, there is no doubt that we are still far from the economic and social consequences of unprecedented magnitude expected due to the global health crisis.

UNCTAD, the UN agency that accurately monitors these developments, is already anticipating a drop in GDP from 3.2% to less than 1.8% in 2020 in the best of cases.

 "

So, say the authors of this forum, " 

faced with the weakening of world demand and the decline in industrial production, Africa needs more than ever to mobilize its exceptional capacity for innovation and the very dense network of entrepreneurs. which irrigate the continent, without delay.

Beyond the immediate consequences of the crisis, the real issue for African leaders is that of the future offered to young people aged 18 to 25.

 "

To do this, three axes: " 

The promotion of public policies to strengthen the participation of the private sector in African economies

 ";

“ 

An intensive training policy

 ”;

and “

 increasing private sector investment in specific activities where Africa has competitive advantages - and where structural needs are immense - such as agriculture, infrastructure, energy, water and services.

 "

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