While France is attacking its 43rd day of confinement and the Prime Minister must present the deconfinement plan on Tuesday, some people wonder, like Youssef on Europe 1, and wonder how many lives have been saved thanks to the restrictive measures imposed by the state. Doctor Jimmy Mohammed answers him.
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60,000 lives saved
Researchers have modeled the consequences of not being confined, and they have found that with just one month of confinement, a great deal of hospitalization has been avoided. We also complained about the number of people immunized, the percentage of the population already infected, around 6%. The researchers showed that on April 19, 23% of the population would have had the coronavirus without containment.
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According to a study by the School of Advanced Studies in Public Health (EHESP), more than 60,000 lives were saved by confinement. According to the researchers, 154,570 patients should have been admitted to intensive care without these restrictive measures. An assessment almost ten times higher than the reality: 14,250 people in intensive care, between March 19 and April 19. "Now we know the resuscitation figures, we have between 5,000 and 10,000 resuscitation beds."
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The containment also made it possible not to overwhelm the hospitals. Without distancing, 669,470 patients would have required hospitalization for Covid-19 contamination, compared to more than 80,000 currently. The direct consequences of effective containment.