The catastrophic collapse of the rating of Vladimir Zelensky frees the Ukrainian political field for the arrival of new forces with new programs. According to the latest poll of the Kiev International Institute of Sociology, now only 52% of respondents positively assess the activities of the Ukrainian president, while in early September, 72% supported him, in October - 68%, and in early November - 64%. That is, the dynamics of the fall has grown, the position of the head of the Ukrainian state is sinking with very noticeable acceleration.
More or less clear why this is happening. Zelensky’s intention to achieve the approval of the bill on the sale of agricultural land, the legalization of gambling, the scandal in the Verkhovna Rada with the participation of deputies from the “Servant of the People” faction, the inability, or perhaps reluctance, to fight against the sovereignty of oligarchic capital, the failure to fulfill promises to protect the Russian language, and most importantly, the absence of any improvement in living conditions - this is the sum of factors contributing to the decline in popularity of the president, who gained a record 73% in the elections.
This situation raises the question of what political forces can attract the sympathies of a disappointed population. Let's look at the results of the parliamentary elections to understand what moods and expectations prevail in Ukrainian society. It is clear that the vote for Zelensky’s party was largely protesting - people expressed their extremely negative attitude towards the old parties and, first of all, to “European Solidarity” Petro Poroshenko. Nobody knew what “Servant of the People” is, but in the wake of distrust of the previous government, Tymoshenko’s party, the hastily concocted party team of the president, gained as much as 43.16%.
The second place went to those whom the voter chose quite deliberately. “Opposition platform - For life” Viktor Medvedchuk and Yuri Boyko with a moderately pro-Russian program received 13.05%. This is a serious result, confirming that there are many among the citizens of Ukraine who would like to establish trustful and friendly relations between Ukraine and Russia. And finally, the indelible, stone electorate of nationalists supported the "Fatherland" of Yulia Tymoshenko (8.18%), the "European Solidarity" Poroshenko (8.10%) and the Voice of Vakarchuk (5.82%).
In total, 22% of citizens associate the future of Ukraine with the policy of Ukrainization in its various outcomes - from the relatively soft, represented by the "Fatherland" to the neo-Nazi "European solidarity". But here, it is curious that the restraint (very relative) of Tymoshenko's program provided her with a leading place among the three nationalist parties.
A low Zelensky rating gives about 25% of voters who have to choose the political programs and forces that they intend to support.
The voices of these people will partially pass to Oppoblok, since there were many among those who voted for Zelensky who considered his promises to come to an agreement with Russia and to take Russian language under protection as a marker of the pro-Russian ideological platform.
A certain (not too large) amount will go to the nationalists. In the western regions, citizens voted for the young candidate, who saw him as a pro-European politician who would accelerate Ukraine’s rapprochement with the EU and NATO. Now they are disappointed with the policy of "surrender" to Russia, against which the radical right is actively protesting.
Determining how many percent of citizens want a change in course, its reorientation to a political union with Russia instead of the West, is quite difficult, but judging by the second place of the "Oppoblok", there are definitely such ones. Indeed, in fact, Medvedchuk and Boyko are extremely cautious in favor of this. Under the previous government, publicly admitting sympathy for Russia was not just dangerous - it was a guaranteed way to places of deprivation of liberty for domestic separatism. Under the new ruling team, the steel hoops were open, which, oddly enough, was promoted by the oligarch Igor Kolomoisky, who without any threat to himself introduced seditious concepts into political circulation: entering the new Warsaw Treaty, founded by Russia, getting out of the US control rejection of integration with the EU and NATO.
What Igor Valeryevich really thinks there is not so important, but he, unwillingly, formulated a new party program with which the new political party has every chance to get into parliament in the early elections. The fact that they will be appointed, now in fact there is no doubt. The Servant of the People faction, shaken by obscene scandals, begins to crumble right before our eyes. Worse than parliament, Ukraine has not yet been.
Nationalists who set the tone in the Rada of the last convocation, at least had a clear idea of what the country should become. A diverse team of showmen, photographers, representatives of the modeling business and near-bohemian characters sewn to a living thread has no political experience and is not connected by a unity of views. The parliamentary crisis that has already begun will deepen rapidly, giving way no longer moderate, discarding all sorts of crafty formulations used to protect against accusations of betraying national interests, the pro-Russian party.
The author’s point of view may not coincide with the position of the publisher.