By 2020, Sino-American trade had fallen by 15%, or about $150 billion. Today, the economic situation in the United States is much worse and Trump's voters are demanding more decisive steps from him.

An anti-Chinese consensus reigns in American society: in China, society cannot decide who it dislikes more - Biden or Trump. In the event of large-scale duties by the U.S. and retaliatory duties by China, trade turnover between Washington and Beijing may no longer lose 15%, as in 2020, but a shock 30% by the end of 2025.