The Istanbul mayoral battle is more complicated than it seems, writes Huseyin Akkoyunlu. The ruling party's chances are undoubtedly better in the upcoming elections than the previous ones, due to the disintegration of the opposition coalition.

But many contexts and factors that have a direct and indirect impact on the result must be considered, especially in Istanbul. The influence of regionalism, regions, clans, and candidate personalities has little influence in elections, especially local/municipal elections.