Tokyo Metropolitan Earthquake Over 6500 people who could not receive treatment Research group September 6 18:43
Of the injured persons who were transported to hospitals in Tokyo during the Tokyo metropolitan earthquake, approximately 6500 people, one out of three, died without treatment. The possibility of this was revealed by a trial calculation by a research group for disaster prevention and emergency medicine. Experts have pointed out that the system should be put in place, such as adding a large number of medical staff immediately after the earthquake.
This estimate was compiled by the National Research Institute for Science and Technology for Disaster Prevention and a research group at Nippon Medical University, designated as the base hospital in the event of a disaster.
In the trial calculation, it is assumed that an earthquake of magnitude 7.3 occurred in the northern part of Tokyo Bay, and the simulation is based on the medical system in Tokyo.
As a result, there are over 21,000 victims who are transported to and visiting medical institutions in Tokyo with relatively severe injuries.
However, due to the lack of medical staff, about 6500 people, about one in three, may die without treatment during the eight days after the earthquake.
By region, 85% of the total is concentrated in medical institutions in the eastern and northeastern parts of Tokyo's 23 wards.
These medical institutions run out of medical staff a few hours after the earthquake and the situation lasts for more than five days.
On the other hand, 96% of the victims who were treated after transport were likely to be saved.
The Tokyo Metropolitan Government has announced a trial calculation that 9700 people will die in the worst case due to the collapse of houses and fires, but it is the first time that a trial calculation of victims who died after transportation to medical institutions has been made clear. The research group has pointed out that the number of people who die from an earthquake directly below the capital may be significantly higher than expected.
Prof. Akira Fuse of the School of Medicine at Nippon Medical School, who made the trial calculation, said, “Severe situations are expected due to the overwhelming shortage of medical staff. The system should be prepared so that human resources can be invested. "