[Global Times Comprehensive Report] According to US media reports, the Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi will leave for Japan, South Korea and other Asian countries on the 29th. It is "still unclear" whether the visit will include Taiwan.

Since the US announced that Pelosi will visit Taiwan in August, China has issued several solemn warnings in the past few days, and has shown a strong will to resolutely defend national sovereignty and territorial integrity, which has put the US side in a difficult situation. predicament.

Both the White House and the U.S. military believe that this is not a good idea, and many officials and experts worry that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan may lead to "misfires" between China and the United States.

The "Washington Post" rarely published an editorial, saying that "Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is not at the right time."

On the 29th, China announced that it would conduct live-fire training and military exercises near the Taiwan Strait and in the waters of the South China Sea.

Several Chinese experts interviewed by the Global Times warned that China's response to Pelosi's visit to Taiwan will be a comprehensive response including military, diplomatic, and economic aspects, and the military response will be the most direct and effective. , which is also the "most understandable way" for the other party.

On the 29th, a number of international media emphasized a sentence from a phone call between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Biden the day before in the headline: "Public opinion must not be violated, and you will set yourself on fire if you play with fire."

"All scripts are open"

　　According to the National Broadcasting Corporation (NBC), Pelosi will leave for Asia on the 29th, and whether she will still visit Taiwan on this trip is "still unclear".

A source who reviewed Pelosi's itinerary on the afternoon of the 28th said that the public itinerary included Japan, South Korea, Malaysia and Singapore, while the trip to Taiwan was listed as "pending."

Hamill, a spokesman for Pelosi's office, still refused to respond to Pelosi's itinerary on the 28th, saying that due to safety considerations, it is not allowed to discuss the specific itinerary in advance.

　　NBC quoted sources as saying that throughout the week before her departure, Pelosi hosted several meetings in her office on the Asia trip and Taiwan-related issues.

The discussions surrounding the visit were sensitive given the visit "has the potential to trigger a military (confrontation) escalation," the sources said.

　　In fact, the U.S. media once imagined some "scripts" for China's countermeasures and possible military risks after Pelosi's planned visit, such as "the PLA military plane 'accompanies' Pelosi's special plane". Overflying Taiwan Island" and "Declaring the sky over Taiwan Island as a no-fly zone", etc.

The US "Politics" website broke the news that Pentagon officials did believe that "this trip may increase tensions in the region."

Pelosi herself also said that the Pentagon's fear may be that if she visits Taiwan, her plane "will be shot down by the Chinese side."

　　In this regard, Yang Mingjie, director of the Taiwan Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said on the 29th that all "scripts" are "open", but China's last resort measures will never be simple, because it involves China's sovereignty and Territorial security involves the political foundation of Sino-US relations and the peace and stability of the Taiwan Strait, as well as the security order and development prospects of neighboring countries and the world. Therefore, the countermeasures must be comprehensive and systematic.

　China issues navigation warning twice a day

　　Regarding Pelosi's possible visit to Taiwan, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the Taiwan Affairs Office of the State Council, and the Ministry of National Defense have issued stern warnings on many occasions.

At the regular press conference of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs on the 29th, a reporter asked: "If the Speaker of the US House of Representatives Nancy Pelosi visits Taiwan, does the Chinese side think that the atmosphere of continued high-level dialogue between China and the United States will no longer exist?" Zhao Lijian said that China has This time, I expressed to the U.S. its serious concern and solemn position that it firmly opposes House Speaker Pelosi's visit to Taiwan.

If the U.S. challenges China’s bottom line, it will be resolutely countered, and all consequences arising therefrom will be fully borne by the U.S. side.

　　Zhang Ronggong, the former deputy secretary-general of the Kuomintang, said in an interview with the media that all parties should take note of China's response to Pelosi's visit to Taiwan, which is not only intensive, but also stronger than ever.

He said, in particular, the Chinese Ministry of National Defense recently said that if the United States insists on going its own way, the Chinese military "will never sit idly by."

This can not help but recall that at the beginning of the Korean War in 1950, when the U.S. military was preparing to cross the 38th parallel, Chinese Premier Zhou Enlai once told the United States through the Indian side that "we can't sit idly by, we have to take care of it."

At that time, the U.S. government and the military believed that China was unable to send troops. As a result, China sent volunteers to participate in the war in North Korea, and the U.S. military was beaten back to the 38th parallel from the Yalu River.

　　Zhang Ronggong warned that neither Taiwan nor the United States should regard the repeated warnings issued by the mainland as nothing, and Taiwan should realize that it is on the line of confrontation between China and the United States.

He said that China is ready to "hit a punch", and Taiwan and the United States will pay an unpredictable price for challenging the mainland's bottom line.

　　CNN said that Pelosi's possible visit to Taiwan has worried the Biden administration, and national security officials have privately tried to convince Pelosi that a visit at this time would pose a huge risk.

According to the report, U.S. officials have been worried that if both China and the United States increase their naval and air military operations in the Taiwan Strait, the probability of miscalculation or accidents will greatly increase.

　　On the 29th, Fujian Pingtan Maritime Safety Administration issued a navigation warning. From 8:00 to 21:00 on July 30, the waters near Yiqiyu, Pingtan, Fujian carried out live-fire training missions, and all ships were prohibited from entering.

The Guangdong Maritime Safety Administration also issued a navigation warning on the same day. From 8:00 to 12:00 on July 30, military exercises will be held in the southeast waters of Dawanshan Island in the South China Sea, and ships are prohibited from entering.

　　Military expert Wang Yunfei summed up the various countermeasures suggested by the public opinion recently. There are roughly five ways: that is, the People's Liberation Army sends military planes to "accompany" Pelosi's special plane; The west plane arrived in Taiwan; the military plane crossed over the island of Taiwan; launched ballistic missiles around the Taiwan Strait; conducted military exercises around the Taiwan Strait.

　　Wu Yongping, director of the Taiwan Institute of Tsinghua University, told the Global Times reporter that our tough stance on the Taiwan issue is based on public opinion. Pelosi's plan is considered very dangerous by all parties.

　　Wu Yongping said that if Pelosi insists on visiting Taiwan, China can use this opportunity to further expand its declaration that "Taiwan is an inalienable part of China's territory" and move forward the reunification process even a small step, so that the United States and the "Taiwan independence" forces will accept it. This reality also gives the international community a clearer understanding of China's will, determination and ability to safeguard national unity.

He said: "There are various suggestions on the Internet, some of which can be tried."

　US media: "We cannot enter a crisis in sleepwalking"

　　"A richer and more powerful China warned Pelosi not to visit Taiwan." The Associated Press said on the 28th that the world situation has undergone tremendous changes.

China is richer and has a better military.

The People's Liberation Army has sent more and more fighter jets to the vicinity of Taiwan.

Beijing's greater economic and global influence gives it more diplomatic tools to express its anger at Washington.

　　"Washington Post" published an editorial said that political and diplomatic activities are like life, "everything must have a suitable time and place."

Now, the United States faces a dilemma.

"From a realist point of view, it must be admitted that Pelosi's visit to Taiwan is not at the right time."

　　"New York Times" said that more and more people feel that China will take measures to make its "red lines" credible.

Some U.S. experts have criticized some for being insensitive to China's vehement response to Taiwan-related issues, thereby ignoring a truly dire warning.

The report said that China and the United States must stop the escalation of the crisis, and Pelosi should postpone the visit.

The two parties in the United States should reach a consensus on this issue as soon as possible, which may be called "soft on China" by some critics, but "we cannot sleepwalk into a crisis."

　　On the island of Taiwan, the New Party held a press conference on the 29th to firmly oppose Pelosi's visit to Taiwan.

The New Party said that if Pelosi's visit to Taiwan would be harmful to nothing, it could lead to wars. "Taiwan cannot pin its fate on the declining United States."

The Cross-Strait Peace and Development Forum, which is composed of several civil groups on the island, also issued a statement on the same day, calling on all sectors of Taiwanese society to make a clear voice, opposing Pelosi's visit to Taiwan to provoke regional tensions, and rejecting the two-sided manipulation of the Taiwan issue by the United States.

　　China Times Electronic News said on the 29th that Pelosi used Taiwan as a bargaining chip for the Democratic Party's midterm elections, "not only immoral, but also likely to generate terrible war risks."

The article asks, what is the use of Pelosi's visit to Taiwan other than destroying the status quo in the Taiwan Strait, which is on the verge of becoming unsustainable?

It is impossible for Taiwan to change the results of the US mid-term elections. "The intention of directly roasting Taiwan on the stove regardless of Taiwan's interests is really sinister."

　　The American "political" news network said that 31 years ago, Pelosi's "protest" in China as an ordinary congressman led to her being expelled from China. Now she is again trying to use a visit that may lead to serious consequences to end her career in a high-profile manner.

In this regard, former CNN Beijing bureau chief Chinoy criticized Pelosi's controversial sexual behavior in China in 1991 as "reckless", and now the risk is more serious, "may make Taiwanese and the United States she claims to defend. Soldiers' lives are seriously threatened."

　　[Global Times reporter Fan Lingzhi Liu Xin Gao Ying Wang Wenwen Global Times special correspondent Cheng Dongtao short room Chen Kang]