The fate of Saigon 'waiting for Kabul'
The accelerated departure of US forces leaves Afghanistan to face its fate.
AFP
How can the West achieve the victory it wanted after withdrawing from Afghanistan?
In this case, the West must support India, and contain China, if its values are to prevail.
According to the developments taking place in the Afghan arena, Kabul is now waiting for the moment of “the fall of Saigon,” the capital of South Vietnam, which fell in 1975 to the communist forces of North Vietnam, after the United States left it, evacuated its citizens and government officials loyal to Washington by helicopters, and left the residents to face their inevitable fate.
The West is rushing to leave Afghanistan, and the commander of the American forces in Afghanistan, General Scott Miller, left the Bagram military base, following a very small farewell celebration a few days ago, and most of the American forces followed, and Australia decided to close its embassy in the capital, Kabul, at a time when the influence of Taliban in the country.
The moves of the “Taliban” and its attempt to control the country came after years of useless and humiliating “peace talks” for the United States in Qatar, and now the movement is besieging Kandahar and other major cities. When will the United States decide to close its embassy and evacuate it by helicopters (as it did in Saigon)?
It took more than two years for South Vietnam to fall to the North, after the American withdrawal, but in Afghanistan it would take less than that to fall to the Taliban, since, according to US intelligence estimates, it would take six months for Kabul to fall.
Other powers had a foresight in dealing with Afghanistan, as it became clear to us that “Iran and Russia secretly support (the Taliban), despite their declaration of war on the extremist Islamists.
China will also offer to invest in part through Pakistan, which is a strategic ally of Beijing and the main sponsor of the (Taliban)."
US presidents, not just Biden, but Obama and Trump as well, have successively justified their devastating neglect of Iraq before 2014, and of Afghanistan now, by promising to “turn to Asia” for America’s future. He wanted to win over the American public.
Thus, Biden can begin to focus on India, which may face significant losses due to its diplomatic support for the Afghan government, and its competition with Pakistan.
Extremist Islamic organizations have targeted India with bombings before, and they may do so again.
Richard Spencer ■ Writer and analyst specializing in Afghanistan
According to the developments taking place in the Afghan arena, Kabul is now waiting for the moment of “the fall of Saigon,” the capital of South Vietnam, which fell in 1975 to the communist forces of North Vietnam, after the United States left it, evacuated its citizens and government officials loyal to Washington by helicopters, and left the residents to face their inevitable fate.
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