US President Joe Biden speaking to reporters at the White House at the end of last month (French)

After the attack on the American base in Jordan, the risks of regional war rose again; This time I started to feel afraid, and let me explain why.

The circles that want America to strike Iran began putting intense pressure on the Biden administration immediately. Where Senators, such as: Lindsey Graham and John Cornyn, issued public statements on social media, saying: “Strike Iran, the target is Tehran.” The Biden administration was influenced by the pressure, and an hour or two after the attack, it issued a written statement holding Iran responsible. She said: She will respond.

I believe that there is intense pressure on the Biden administration from these two camps that want war with Iran.

Politics is not realism but theopolitics

I say; America has not acted realistically for a long time, and its movements are irrational. The reason is that the American state has lost its strategic mind, strategic thinking style, and traditional rational political behavior.

For example; When Obama opened the way to Iran, Trump declared it an enemy, and despite Turkey's objections, America opened space for the PKK in Syria, created an armed army there, and opposed all Islamic countries by opening an embassy in Jerusalem.

Finally, it has inflamed anti-American hostility around the world by unconditionally supporting Israel's unprecedented genocidal war. These actions are not in keeping with the pattern of realpolitik.

Why do you act like this?

The reason is that America has followed a "theopolitic" policy for a long time. The Christian evangelical religious group was able to organize itself strongly in the Pentagon, the State Department, and the White House. It is also noted that this group clearly dominates the decision-making centers in the American state bureaucracy and the business world. Evangelical groups also have a close and tangible relationship with the Zionist wing of the Jews from a religious standpoint.

Currently; Evangelicals and Zionists are focused on the same goal because of Israel's security, offbeat resurrection theories, and the utopia of the promised lands, and for them; It is necessary for America to remain in the region, and for the removal of every country that poses a threat to the establishment of their “promised state” and the existence of Israel, and the war against Iran will serve these circles in creating an atmosphere of chaos that can realize their dreams.

The gun lobby is excited

The arms lobby, which is one of the most powerful lobbies in America and which has a great influence on the media and the economy, is known to everyone, and here we should not forget that the 65,000 tons of bombs dropped on Gaza and the weapons worth $21 billion that were sent to Ukraine came from the American army. The US Army will replace its empty stores, and this means huge trade for companies that produce weapons for the US Army.

The matter does not stop there. As tensions increase in the region, arms dealers sell huge quantities of weapons to countries in that region. US arms exports have increased by 49 percent in the last two years.

In this case; America's entry into a conflict with a large country like Iran in the Middle East is an opportunity that the arms lobby has not found in years.

Interests are uniting and danger is increasing

The interests of the Jewish lobby, evangelical groups, and the arms lobby have united in the Israel-Gaza war, resulting in an extremely dangerous situation; It can be expected that the United States will respond to the attack by striking groups close to Iran in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Lebanon, and this is a rational political analysis.

But we must think the worst in a place where reason is lacking, theopoliticized, and includes actors from the American state, senators, the media, and the business world.

The United States striking Iran means Israel's involvement in the war. If Israel enters the war; The Netanyahu government will strengthen its position, and the United States will increase its military presence in the region. The Arab countries will not participate in the war because of their hatred of Iran, which will cause Iran great harm.

Israel considers this simple prediction, but does not take into account what China and Russia might do in this situation. If the United States is using Ukraine to weaken Russia, why are Russia and China not using Iran to weaken the United States? In this case, Israel will be among the countries that will receive the greatest damages.

I think the risk of war is increasing, and frankly, I fear for our region.