According to the UK Met Office climate forecast, 2023 could be one of the hottest years on record.
According to their estimates, next year's temperatures should be, on average, 1.2°C higher than those before global warming, measured over the period 1850-1900, reports The Guardian.
A year potentially warmer than 2022
"With the background increase in global greenhouse gas emissions continuing rapidly, next year is likely to be another remarkable year," said Professor Adam Scaife, Head of Long Range Forecasts. term at the Met Office.
In total, if these forecasts turn out to be correct, 2023 would be the tenth consecutive year where temperatures are one degree higher than those measured during the pre-industrial era.
2023 could also be the hottest year in several years.
Indeed, since 2020, the La Niña climatic phenomenon had caused a cooling of the equatorial surface waters in the tropical Pacific.
But, according to the UK Met Office's climate model, this thermal anomaly is set to end in 2023, raising global temperatures on average.
Released today, the Met Office global temperature forecast indicates that 2023 could be the 10th consecutive year where average temperatures reach at least 1°C above pre-industrial levels 🌡️
Learn more in our news release 👇
— Met Office (@metoffice) December 20, 2022
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2023 close to record
Next year, however, is unlikely to beat 2016, the hottest year on record.
That year, temperatures were on average 1.3°C higher than in the pre-industrial era.
These high temperatures were notably caused by the El Niño episode in the Pacific, a warm ocean current that repeats itself every four years.
As a reminder, the British Met Office had announced for 2022 higher temperatures between 0.97 ° C and 1.21 ° C compared to pre-industrial times, with an average estimated at 1.09 ° C.
From January to October, the temperatures recorded were finally higher, on average, by 1.16°C compared to this period.
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