European autumn is canceled

Usually European autumn is beautiful.

This is the most peaceful and prosperous time of the Old Continent and the most, if you like, bourgeois: the time of summing up and harvesting, the time of high clear skies and cool gentle sun.

Foliage turning purple, late autumn roses and the transparent coolness of the air, through which, on the boulevards of European capitals, a completely cinematic, as if in the spirit of Italian neorealism, filmed, black-and-white graphics of branches with partially flown foliage already appears.

And it is by no means accidental that experienced travelers from Russia, both in the times of empires and in our recent days, sought to get to European lands in the fall - even in the October drizzle, the twilight of Paris was still purple.

And the rains are too warm compared to the dank climate of our land of sad autumn aspens.

And you know - now I will say a platitude that suggests itself - but this year autumn in Europe looks completely different.

And here it cannot even be said that Europe simply lives in anticipation of a colossal systemic crisis: it is already inside this crisis, in fact, is.

It’s already simple in fact – key production facilities are being closed: the largest in Europe, in particular, aluminum and zinc producers, have already been closed.

Next in line are other locomotives of non-ferrous and ferrous metallurgy and chemistry, after which machine builders and (with rare exceptions) everyone else will inevitably “fly out”.

And that's how you want, but there is a feeling that the latest - quite enchanting purely even from the point of view of common sense - the initiatives of the European elites are largely caused precisely by panic moods.

Especially bright against the background of the already habitual chronic lack of professionalism and the general collective incapacity of the current European "elites".

Just a short example.

Judging by the reports of the American Bloomberg agency, which in this case there is no reason not to trust, in response to the amazing idea of ​​​​Brussels to set the so-called marginal prices not only for Russian oil, but also for Russian gas, they began to intensively twist a finger at the temple not only in Russia.

But even American LNG producers.

And, you know, not out of a sudden sense of professional solidarity with the Russian gas workers.

It’s just that they, unlike the Brussels bureaucrats, are well aware that this will only aggravate the already difficult situation in the energy markets around the world and, as a result of the global imbalance, will inevitably affect all gas suppliers.

Including, of course, on their loved ones - themselves.

Let's just quote.

“We believe that capping measures inevitably distort and undermine energy markets, creating unintended consequences.

We hope EU energy ministers will avoid this approach,” said Charlie Riedl, executive director of the Washington-based LNG Center.

Well, we, in turn, will simply modestly recall that the G7 countries not so long ago agreed to set a ceiling on the cost of Russian oil.

What led only to the fact that the Russian side simply warned all interested parties that it would not corny sell oil to countries that support these restrictions.

And you don’t have to be seven spans in your forehead to understand such a banal message: setting a ceiling on gas prices in the European Union will lead to exactly the same consequences - the Russian Federation in this kind of situation will simply stop any gas supplies to Europe altogether.

And this will lead to such a large-scale energy crisis in the Old Continent that it will inevitably provoke a global energy crisis.

Which will also inevitably develop into a systemic global economic crisis.

And it will almost certainly turn into a global financial catastrophe, in terms of economic consequences for the global world, it is quite comparable to the third world war.

And this is well understood not only by at least somewhat pragmatic people on the Old Continent, it is understood even by direct competitors of Russian gas producers, such as, in particular, American LNG producers, which in this particular case is somehow, you see, especially significant.

But for some reason the European bureaucrats stubbornly do not understand.

And that, sorry, is not even a problem.

Sorry, this is a problem.

Moreover, the trouble is already, apparently, inevitable, so the Brussels political elites will become hysterical, as if they are trying with all their might to speed up the already inevitable process, in full accordance with the classic “barn burned down - burn down and hut”.

And in this “European autumn”, which is not at all comfortable, but extremely disturbing, in this Europe, teetering on the very brink of an economic disaster, unseen since, perhaps, the Second World War, and the inevitable social upheavals that accompany these disasters, — in this "autumn" not only "guests and tourists", but also the Europeans themselves will not want at all.

Capital, at least, is already fleeing from there.

And - evil tongues say - together with individual "capitalists".

And the de-industrialization of the continent is also already actively underway, just in fact, we wrote about this above.

Once again: these are no longer "forecasts", not possible "development scenarios", but simply a fact.

And in general, there is such a feeling, excuse me for some poetry, that this “fertile European autumn”, at least this year, is simply not foreseen in Europe.

Well, this time this usual option is not provided for the inhabitants of the Old Continent.

And in continental Europe, despite the still very comfortable weather conditions, instead of a fertile autumn, winter immediately comes.

The point of view of the author may not coincide with the position of the editors.