Well, here's what you can say.
As the American, characteristically, Bloomberg agency states, the cessation of Russian gas supplies to Germany, we quote, “will cause long-term damage to the economic landscape” of this unfortunate country.
The cessation of energy supplies from Russia, according to experts, will lead to a reduction in the German economy by 3% in the next year, 2023.
Production can be significantly reduced or completely stopped in industries such as metallurgy (and related areas), paper production, and even in the food industry.
Sorry, but a direct quote from Bloomberg is needed here:
“The outlook is already grim.
Factory orders have fallen over the past three months, costs are rising and confidence is crumbling.”
And here, first of all, it is not the forecast itself that is important, because, in our opinion, excuse me, it is too optimistic, but a statement of what is happening directly here and now.
Now let's try to explain.
But first, let us recall that on June 14, the Russian concern Gazprom announced that it was forced to reduce gas supplies due to sanctions restrictions on the supply of gas pumping units.
This truly epic story with “Canadian sanctions”, which as a result turned into a real threat to the German (and European in general) energy sector, is too well known to dear readers to retell it now.
Suffice it to say that as a result of this, excuse me, stupidity, the supply of gas through the Nord Stream gas pipeline has decreased to a level of no more than 67 million cubic meters.
m of gas per day instead of the planned figure of 167 million cubic meters.
m of gas per day.
Well, the second gas pipeline, Nord Stream 2, for which the former leadership of Germany, led by Angela Merkel, fought so desperately and which Germany and Europe needed first of all, must be admitted,
In general, excuse me for being rude: once upon a time there was a girl - herself, a fool, and to blame.
At the same time, Russian Gazprom has already (we emphasize: already) won back this situation due to the price increase.
But just about no one knows what to do with such a development of events for the Germans.
And it would be fine if only the Germans.
So, for example, despite the fact that no later than June 23, the Minister of Energy Transition of France, Agnès Pannier-Runachet, said that the country has every opportunity to abandon Russian gas, much more realistic people from the leadership of the largest French energy companies, such as Engie, EDF and TotalEnergies, yesterday from the pages of the respectable Sunday newspaper Le Journal du Dimanche actually officially called on the citizens of the country right now, in real time, to reduce electricity consumption.
And just because of the current decline in Russian gas supplies.
And it is clear that they did this not out of love for our country and Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin personally.
But because the situation with energy supply is becoming critical right now.
We quote again:
And these, as you understand, are not empty words at all.
Here, in general, everything is simple - and scary.
If the current trends continue, then the winter period in the European energy markets can only be described in one word: “catastrophe”.
And, alas, it really is.
Moreover, this disaster is quite planned, unfortunately.
Carefully arranged for European power engineers by "partners" from across the other side of the great Atlantic Ocean.
For there can be nothing more stupid than arranging a conflict in deliveries with one's own resource base.
Especially if, in principle, there is no replacement for imported energy resources from the east.
And it’s better not to even remember about the “green transition”, which the Atlanticists were so proud of.
Because European energy is now no longer a matter of making money by great green strategists, but a matter of elementary survival.
In a word, very difficult times await Europe: rising energy prices, we quote the statement of the French power engineers, "affect the purchasing power of families too much."
And this is the pure truth.
Moreover, we also should not be too naive, believing that the upheavals that are already coming to the west of the great Eurasian continent will not affect us in any way.
Alas, touch.
And not only because Europe is our traditional markets.
It's just that Ukraine has very convincingly, in my opinion, proved how interconnected everything is.
How integrated, it would seem, absolutely independent European economies.
And our economy, no matter how the domestic turbopatriots shout, alas, is still European.
We have been integrated there for too long.
And we, together with Europe, we need to be aware of this, are facing very difficult, but at the same time very interesting times.
The point of view of the author may not coincide with the position of the editors.