Turkey has entered its last year of presidential elections, as Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan recently announced his candidacy on behalf of the People's Alliance, in a speech he delivered during a military training ceremony that took place in Ephesus.

Of course, this was as a media for what was already known, because the People's Alliance had no problem with the candidate issue from the beginning, and the coalition partner Devlet Bahçeli had stated some time before that, "Erdogan is our candidate," and it was already clear that Erdogan is the candidate for The People's Alliance, while the status of the other competing coalition in this race is still unclear.

Kılıçdaroğlu has been unable to restrain his desire to be a candidate lately, as he imitates Erdogan in his behavior, actions, stances and political discourse and tries to imitate him, and even while attacking and criticizing Erdogan, he sees him trying to follow his style, of course as much as he can

The meetings - which are held between the six coalition parties in order to determine the candidate - increase uncertainty and disputes more each time, its task is already very difficult, and it is not easy to determine a name that all six agree on, and perhaps the most logical idea here is that one candidate for each Some of them are in the first round, and whoever gets the highest percentage of votes after that is unanimously agreed by the rest. However, this idea, which seems very logical and possible in theory and among the parties to the hexagonal table, may not be easy and logical to the same extent on the ground, in fact there is a state of incompatibility Which may make reaching agreement not as easy and as desired by political leaders.

For example, the name Ekmeleddin Ihsanoğlu against Erdogan in the first presidential elections held 8 years ago seemed very reasonable - to the leader of the CHP - as a figure who could compete with Erdogan, but the questions that immediately came to the minds of CHP supporters did not Kılıçdaroğlu had not thought about it, as all the qualifications that were considered strong in Ihsanoglu's file were qualifications that Erdogan represented in a more realistic and more authentic way, and thus the biggest paradox of the opposition emerges in this question: Is the only way to overthrow Erdogan requires bringing in the person most like him?

Because in doing so, the fact that Erdogan is the most correct option in the current rivalry is emphasized.

There is no escape from Erdogan

There is no doubt that the person that the six opposition parties are looking for at the table today is the person most similar to Erdogan, but when you introduce such a character, there will be an obstacle to empowering Erdogan more, as the most realistic, authentic, familiar and knowledgeable person, and regardless of all accounts there is no Erdogan is fleeing, and this is disturbing the Six-Party Table like a nightmare.

Kılıçdaroğlu has been unable to restrain his desire to be a candidate in recent times, as he imitates Erdogan in his behavior, actions, stances and political discourse and tries to imitate him, and even while attacking and criticizing Erdogan, he sees him trying to follow his method, of course as much as he can, and of course this seems not Convenient because it is an artificial tradition, and because he has no success story in his life and is not relied upon to be able to deliver what he promises abundantly and easily.

In fact, if Kılıçdaroğlu becomes a candidate, he will get - according to the current situation - the largest number of votes from among the parties to the six-party table. However, his partners on the table - despite all his efforts to imitate Erdogan - do not consider him enough and do not support his candidacy, and there are some justifications that Ask them all so as not to be a candidate.

Of course, they are all looking for someone who can get the votes that will enable him to overthrow Erdogan, but when such a person has a conservative profile, it will not be possible to convince the CHP voters to do so because they do not want to repeat the experience of Ekmeleddin Ihsanoglu, who has the same ideology as Erdogan Of their own free will, only because there is a possibility of overthrowing Erdogan, because if they do that they will not have any ideological pretensions, and this is very difficult for them.

The thing here is that CHP voters are very radical ideologically, and it is very difficult for them to support anyone who is not among them, they do not want to fall into the same situation they once got into just wanting to overthrow Erdogan.

On the other hand, if they choose someone with the profile they want, the votes they can get will be limited, as the Republican People’s Party votes in all polls range between 25 and 26%, and this means that it cannot reach the required absolute majority in the presidency.

As for the leader of the Good Party Meral Aksener, she wants to be a candidate herself or for Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu to be the candidate, and the focus on this name is due to the idea that Imamoglu is following the same path as Erdogan as a profession in which he holds the position of mayor of Istanbul.

Of course, he is relatively more conservative ideologically, and he is from the Black Sea region, but with his recent serious mistakes his popularity has fallen a lot, and although he belongs to the Republican People's Party, Kılıçdaroğlu does not want to be shown as a candidate in his stead.

Mansur Yavas - who was elected mayor of Ankara and also belongs to the Republican People's Party - is also mentioned among the possible candidates, but he is also from the MHP ideologically, not from the CHP.

In this regard, although he is closer to Meral Aksener's "Good Party", Aksener does not want Yavas to be a candidate because she fears that if he succeeds, he will join the CHP and grow as a rival to her, which is why she does not want to nominate him.

What is interesting is that all these potential and powerful candidates are coming from the mayoral position, they both have conservative roots, and they both put the CHP votes in their pocket, but the task is not that easy, on one hand there is the fact that the grassroots leaders of the CHP do not give their Easily a person of conservative origin even if they wanted to, and on the other hand, although they have similar aspects to Erdogan such as mayorship and conservative doctrine, none of them have a success story, including Kılıçdaroğlu.

And Erdogan - whose whole life has been full of success stories - cannot be compared with anyone's story. I can say that the task of the opposition is very difficult.