"Météo France forecasts a very hot summer", headlined

Le Parisien

for its May 2 front page.

Three months later, for those who remained in France, this prediction is gently laughing.

It is true that for the moment, between thunderstorms, showers and gray skies, this summer looks more like an autumn.

Some Internet users have therefore not missed the opportunity to make fun of the weather channel by showing on Twitter the famous front page of the regional daily.

🇫🇷 FLASH - La Une du Parisien on May 2… then 2 months later on July 31.

⤵️ pic.twitter.com/ByaII5iItR

- Mediavenir (@Mediavenir) July 31, 2021

Faced with criticism, Météo France decided to give a little lesson in meteorology on the social network in order to explain the gap between this forecast and the reality experienced by the majority of French people.

The weather service first indicates in response to a widely shared post that the seasonal forecast is "probabilistic."

“It's a specific production that has nothing to do with a classic 3 or 4 day weather forecast.

It has limits, ”she concedes, referring to her site for more details.

Météo France forecasts, but for all of Europe

A few days later, in a post dated August 3, Météo France therefore decided to explain in more detail the particularities of a seasonal forecast bulletin.

On the one hand, these three-month forecasts are made for Europe and therefore not only France.

In Greece where it was over 47 degrees or in Turkey where the thermometer has reached 45 degrees in recent days, the front page of the Parisian is therefore very timely.

With the weather far from summer for much of France, many of you have rightly wondered about the lag, especially with this Une @le_Parisien 02/05, shared widely on social networks, and reality.



Let's take stock together 👇 pic.twitter.com/9pipmR4GSz

- Météo-France (@meteofrance) August 3, 2021

Météo France also indicates to establish "the associated probability that the quarter will be hotter, cooler or close to the climatological average".

However, it specifies that it is based on global physical models and that "the most probable scenario does not systematically occur" and that it is also possible that the least probable will occur.

Finally, “the performance of seasonal forecasts varies depending on the location, the season and the meteorological parameter concerned,” adds Météo France, specifying that it is, for example, easier to make an accurate estimate in a tropical region than in Europe.

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