In the context of a series of events and preliminary measures that suggest a state of political tension and a major failure in the management of the country by the Mechichi government and the Ghannouchi Parliament, with the hysterical cries of the Minister of Health about the collapse of the health system in Tunisia, which was preceded by the collapse of the labor system and the threat to the lives of the Tunisian people, in a similar attempt to Creating a state of general failure and intimidation of the people, in light of the suspicious exploitation of the Corona pandemic and the housing of the people in homes, the decisions of President Qais Saeed came to completely freeze political life in Tunisia (Parliament, the government and the judiciary), and even extract all powers and collect them in the hands of the president.
It is noticeable - so far - that the Tunisian president has frozen political life and paralyzed the state completely, and has not presented any reformist alternative, and this shows bad faith towards the revolution and democratic transformation, and that he does not represent the national interests of the Tunisian people, as well as his extremely weak position, and the possibility of stopping the coup quickly, but rather confront and prosecute him.
His decisions came while he was holed up in Article 80 of the Constitution, which gave him a special explanation, contrary to what all the experts of the Tunisian Constitution and law spoke, holed up in his palace with the army, preventing deputies from reaching Parliament, and preventing members and government employees from reaching their workplaces, and justifying his decisions by saving The country, and his work to correct the situation, and trying to show it in the form of a constitutional crisis that is liable to multiple interpretations - so as to consume time and pass the coup against the people - and to show that he is trying to save the sinking Tunisian ship.
He took accelerated steps in the form of a pre-prepared organized work program, equipped with a special program to prepare the political environment in Tunisia, to receive and pass these revolutionary decisions, freeze political life and jump on the nascent democratic experiment in Tunisia, and the gains of the Tunisian revolution, followed by imposing a curfew, and closing the office Al Jazeera.
There is no doubt that what took place is a full-fledged coup backed by the army and security, which surrounded the parliament building and the government headquarters, and prevented the people’s representatives and the Meshishi government from reaching their workplaces and carrying out their constitutional duty.
With Saeed continuing to run the country, and with the people absent from leaving and rejecting and stopping the coup, it seemed that the first stage of the coup had already succeeded, and everyone should wait for what the owner of all authorities in Tunisia would do.
President Qais Saeed
It is noticeable - so far - that the Tunisian president has frozen political life and paralyzed the state completely, and has not presented any reformist alternative, and this shows bad faith towards the revolution and democratic transformation, and that he does not represent the national interests of the Tunisian people, as well as his extremely weak position, and the possibility of stopping the coup quickly, but rather confront and prosecute him.
There is no doubt that we are facing many great lessons that peoples seeking liberation must learn, and I will try to summarize them as follows:
The Arab religious organizations - led by the Muslim Brotherhood - have proven and confirmed their political failure and lack of readiness, and the absence of their ability to play political roles other than the ones they have practiced over the past nearly 90 years of practicing the functional role - the role of "compares" - in theatricalization of authoritarian regimes, with participation In the political process to legitimize authoritarian regimes, while exercising the role of victim in all decades.
There is no doubt that they have distinguished advocacy, educational and social roles, but they are not entirely suitable for exercising political tasks, due to the absence of their psychological, scientific, professional and political expertise, with their strong insistence not to recognize this, and to advance in every random way to the presidency and leadership of the country politically, and to waste the revolutions of its peoples, and to return them as easy prey Soft malleability to the hand of despots.
Very simply, Qais Saeed managed to cause a great societal division, through a state of recovery in the Islamists, and this is what called the Tunisian people to abstain from the street.
The Arab peoples are not yet ready for democratic transition. This has been confirmed more than once due to the absence of their social and political awareness, as a result of being subjected to a whole century of tyranny, falsification of facts, lack of awareness and systematic brainwashing.
It needs an orderly and accurate re-awareness process, to purify the collective Arab mind of the defective thinking, erroneous postulates, misconceptions and incorrect perceptions of religion and its message in life, not to mention the absence of culture that expresses the age and transits the future.
The absence of a critical mass of strong political, cultural, media and religious elites qualified to confront, defeat and defeat tyranny and its deep state.
It is necessary to define the one compass towards which the efforts of all parties, organizations and political forces must be directed, which is to complete the revolution to achieve democratic transformation and the cooperation of all in that, away from ideological intersections, special interests, and settling old accounts that the deep state worked on and succeeded in doing with great success. .
The revolution must be complete, and there is no room in it for half a revolution or three quarters of a revolution, or just experiment, otherwise it will become an adventure to hell.
For the revolution to be complete, it must be equipped with several elements:
A single and solid revolutionary ideology of liberation from tyranny and democratization.
A mature cultural and political elite ready to lead and manage the revolution to its end.
Alternative national leaders to take over the tasks of efficiently managing the joints of power in the country as a substitute for the pillars of the deep state.
An alternative national project that includes the general national identity of the state and the university for all components, and an economic project.
An alternative that will gradually bring the state out of its crisis, and a clear and internally defined political project for democratic transformation and participation in the stability of the region.
A temporary popular force to guard the revolution until its end, to return to its normal professional positions and activities after the revolution's success.
There is no revolution except by prosecuting the symbols of tyranny and the thieves of the ages and destinies of the people and the wealth of the country for successive decades, at least the first and second rows, so that this would be a deterrent to the rest of the pillars of the deep state, and again prevents their return.
Coups must be resolved in their early hours and according to pre-prepared plans, and this is what the Ennahda movement overlooked.
The Renaissance did not show any reactions, other than what it has been accustomed to for decades of playing the role of victim, demanding, pleading and begging at the doors, forgetting that by this - weakness, betrayal and wandering - it destroys the fate of the Tunisian nation, and takes it back to long decades, and this is only the result of a wrong understanding of religion and its role In making the civilized personality capable of the consequences of change and construction, not the weak, fatalistic, feeble personality that does not represent the true personality that we got to know in the course of the Companions and the early Muslims, the makers of civilization and the builders of nations.
What happened is borne by everyone - Ennahda, all parties, national forces, civil society and the people - all of them participated in the failure industry for 10 consecutive years, and participated in the people’s despair of reform and from all of them, and gave the counter-revolution the opportunity to return to rule and control the country and the people again, this is not the case The important;
But the important thing now is to acknowledge and move on to discussing how to confront the second round of the coup and try to stop it.
The importance of transparency and frankness of the people with the reality of the situation, and cooperation in shouldering the responsibility of democratic transformation and entering the path of development, while reducing the ceiling of aspirations, especially in the early stages after the revolution.
The people must be informed of the military doctrine of the army, and the people’s participation through the House of Representatives in choosing the leaders of the army, so that the army is not stolen every time in favor of the tyrants and the state turns into the state of the army, instead of the state army that preserves the interests of the people.
Expected scenarios:
first scenario
The political parties’ awakening from the intoxication of the coup and the blurring of healing in the Renaissance - which is disjointed from within, weak and politically incapable and insisting on being at the forefront of the scene - and from special partisan interests, and the shift to the importance of preserving freedom, the democratic path and the gains of the revolution, and declaring the unity of the parties against the coup and calling on the people to come out to stop the coup and hold the president accountable Calling for a national unity government and new presidential elections, followed by a specific plan and decisive measures to confront and dismantle the deep state.
second scenario
The slowness of Ennahda and the parties, the continuation of the situation of holding the stick in the middle, and maneuvering, leaving the space for the president to complete his unknown program - so far - to complete the coup procedures and return Tunisia to before 2011.
Third Scenario
In light of the current state of decline and frustration, the environment becomes suitable for the advancement of the choice of violence, whether Islamists, or other youths of the revolution who have lost their dream and no longer have any choice, and then a series of violence and counter-violence begins, and it will be a golden opportunity for the regime to discipline its opponents, and intimidate The people and the tightening of their grip on Tunisia as a whole, similar to the scenario of the decade of Algeria.
Tunisia now needs enterprising and initiating wise men to turn the coup into an opportunity to get rid of it and the deep state, purify the country and put it on the right democratic and developmental path.