According to the Sigma Dos survey for EL MUNDO that we published today, if general elections were held now,

the Popular Party would win them with 29.4% of the votes

(130 deputies).

Together with Vox and Ciudadanos,

Pablo Casado's party

would touch the absolute majority but would not be able to evict the PSOE from the Executive due to the drop in the vote estimates for both Vox, which would obtain 44 deputies -now it has 52-, and Ciudadanos, who a decline continues that seems to have no soil and would remain

with a single seat.

If these results were given, the center-right bloc would add 175 of the 350 that Congress distributes, to four of achieving a parliamentary majority against the left and nationalisms.

A positive inertia but not enough since

the PSOE breaks its downward trend in the latest polls

, growing almost one point (25.9%).

Of course, the government coalition would remain in the minority since United We can, although it improves three tenths since the departure of Pablo Iglesias, it stagnates at 25 deputies and sees how those of Íñigo Errejón grow to 10, driven by its results in Madrid.

In summary,

the left frame would not exceed 138 seats, 37 less than the sum of PP, Vox and Cs

.

A very conclusive fact, and that is that as revealed by the EL MUNDO Panel, 50.7% qualify as "bad" or "very bad" the management of the coalition government of PSOE and United We Can.

This X-ray should stimulate the center-right project that Casado is promoting with

the objective of making the PP once again a great unifying party, broad and moderate

.

At the moment, it has managed to collect 12.6% of Vox voters, a percentage that shoots up to 40.6% if we refer to the one captured from Citizens.

The debacle of Inés Arrimadas' party seems inevitable

, and both its puzzling political strategy in recent months and its obvious weakness are causing a large voter leakage, as it shows that only one in four would choose the option again

Orange

.

The alternative of the center-right involves Pablo Casado continuing to reunify all the vote around the initials of the PP, as he achieved

Isabel Diaz Ayuso

in the elections of May 4 in Madrid.

In his favor also plays the

current inclination of voters to take refuge in classical political options during times of economic crisis and uncertainty

.

A fact that is not only happening in Spain, as evidenced by the recent victory of the Republicans in the French regionals or the fact that the CDU is once again leading the polls in Germany.

The Sigma Dos survey reflects that the PP is, together with More Country,

the only party that improves its results compared to the 2019 elections

.

Pablo Casado's options go through his ability to win back former voters and attract the disaffected from the central and moderate left.

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