After a peak in January and then stagnation since mid-March, the average number of deaths in France is falling.
According to the weekly report of INSEE published this Friday, the deaths observed every day in France, all causes combined, have been falling since the beginning of May.
As a reminder, 2,150 deaths were recorded every day on average in January, then 2,040 in February and a little less than 1,900 in March and April.
This number fell to 1,740 deaths per day on average during the first half of May, then to just over 1,600 over the period from May 16 to June 7 - latest figures available - according to the National Institute of Statistical Studies.
8% more deaths compared to 2019
From January 1 to June 7, 301,263 deaths were recorded in France, or 8% more than for the same period of 2019, a year without Covid but with a virulent seasonal flu. The figure is almost stable (+ 1%) compared to 2020, the year of the outbreak of the pandemic. The excess of deaths compared to 2019 is greater in Provence-Alpes-Côte d'Azur (+ 15%), in Hauts-de-France (+ 13%), and in Île-de-France (+11 %).
If we compare the deaths of 2021 to those of two years ago, we see that their number increases only for the age groups of 65 years and over: + 13% for the 65-74 years as for the 75-84 years old.
For those over 85, the excess of deaths compared to 2019 only reached 7% from January 1 to June 7, and is even almost stable (+1%) if we only take into account the last month for which figures are available (May 7 to June 7).
This can be explained by the effect of vaccination against the Covid - of which the oldest were the first beneficiaries - but also by those of the seasonal flu of 2019 and of the Covid in 2020: "epidemics affect the most low and sometimes anticipate their deaths, so that mortality then drops, ”notes the statistical institute.
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