The government's "Coronavirus Infection Control Subcommittee" has "medical pressure", "number of medical treatments", and "PCR test" as indicators to determine which of the four stages that indicate the infection status. "Positive rate", "Number of newly infected people", and "Ratio of people whose infection route is unknown" are shown.
Of these, there are three items for "medical pressure": "bed usage rate," "hospitalization rate," and "bed usage rate for the severely ill."
According to the summary of the Cabinet Secretariat, 9 prefectures that have declared a state of emergency and 19 prefectures to which "priority measures such as spread prevention" are applied are the most serious in each prefecture as of 18th of this month. There are many items that correspond to "Stage 4".
Regarding the bed-related indicators, some local governments publish different values based on the "number of beds that can be immediately responded" that can be accepted immediately.
1-1 Medical tight usage rate
First is the tightness of medical care.
As a guide, the bed usage rate is 20% or more for stage 3 and 50% or more for stage 4.
The usage rate of the entire sickbed is
▽ 53% in Hokkaido
,
▽
63% in Gunma prefecture,
▽ 39% in Tokyo
,
▽
48% in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 33% in Chiba prefecture,
▽ 32% in Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ Ishikawa 77% in
prefecture
,
▽ 78% in Aichi prefecture,
▽ 45% in Mie prefecture,
▽ 72% in Gifu prefecture,
▽ 76% in Osaka prefecture,
▽ 68% in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 70% in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ Okayama prefecture 84%,
▽ Hiroshima prefecture 71%,
▽ Fukuoka prefecture 85%,
▽ Kumamoto prefecture 56%,
▽ Okinawa prefecture 81%,
▽ Ehime prefecture 24%.
1-2 Medical pressure hospitalization rate
The standard hospitalization rate is 40% or less for stage 4 and 25% or less for stage 3.
The hospitalization rate is
▽ 16% in Hokkaido,
▽ not applicable in Gunma prefecture,
▽ 36% in Tokyo,
▽ not applicable in Saitama prefecture
,
▽ not applicable in
Chiba prefecture,
▽ not applicable in Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ 48 in Ishikawa prefecture %,
▽ Not applicable to Aichi prefecture
,
▽
33% in Mie prefecture,
▽ 47% in Gifu prefecture,
▽ 13% in Osaka prefecture,
▽ 20% in Hyogo prefecture,
▽
20% in
Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 23% in Okayama prefecture ,
▽ 17% in Hiroshima prefecture
,
▽ Not
applicable in Fukuoka prefecture,
▽ 31% in Kumamoto prefecture,
▽ 29% in Okinawa prefecture,
▽ Not applicable in Ehime prefecture.
See the end of the sentence for "Not applicable".
1-3 Medical pressure severely ill
As a guide, the bed usage rate for severely ill people is 20% or more in stage 3 and 50% or more in stage 4.
The bed usage rate for the severely ill is
▽ 26% in Hokkaido
,
▽
23% in Gunma prefecture,
▽ 46% in Tokyo
,
▽
27% in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 12% in Chiba prefecture,
▽ 31% in Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ 31% in Ishikawa prefecture,
▽ 57% in Aichi prefecture,
▽ 18% in Mie prefecture,
▽ 34% in Gifu prefecture,
▽ 64% in Osaka prefecture,
▽ 73% in Hyogo prefecture
,
▽
43% in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ It was 77% in Okayama prefecture,
26% in Hiroshima prefecture,
57% in Fukuoka
prefecture, 37% in Kumamoto
prefecture, 74% in Okinawa prefecture,
and 15% in Ehime prefecture.
2 Number of recuperators
Next, the standard number of people receiving medical treatment is 20 or more in stage 3 and 30 or more in stage 4 per 100,000 population.
▽ 110 people in Hokkaido,
▽ 34 people in Gunma prefecture,
▽ 47 people in Tokyo
,
▽
35 people in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 22 people in Chiba prefecture,
▽ 27 people in Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ 53 people in Ishikawa prefecture,
▽ Aichi 76 people in the
prefecture
,
▽ 34 people in Mie prefecture,
▽ 57 people in Gifu prefecture,
▽ 172 people in Osaka prefecture,
▽ 75 people in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 63 people in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 79 people in Okayama prefecture,
▽ Hiroshima prefecture There were 72 people in
Fukuoka prefecture, 116 people in Fukuoka prefecture,
52 people in Kumamoto
prefecture, 106 people in Okinawa prefecture,
and 13 people in Ehime prefecture.
3 Test positive rate
This is the positive rate of PCR tests for the last week.
As a guide, stage 3 is 5% or more, and stage 4 is 10% or more.
▽ 10.2% in Hokkaido,
▽ 7.9% in Gunma prefecture,
▽ 6.1% in Tokyo
,
▽
4.6% in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 5.4% in Chiba prefecture,
▽ 7.7% in Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ 8.2% in Ishikawa prefecture,
▽ Aichi 9.3% in
prefecture
,
▽ 5.9% in Mie prefecture,
▽ 7.9% in Gifu prefecture,
▽ 4.4% in Osaka prefecture,
▽ 10.2% in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 9.7% in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 11.0% in Okayama prefecture,
▽ Hiroshima prefecture 2.5%,
▽ Fukuoka prefecture 7.9%,
▽ Kumamoto prefecture 16.4%,
▽ Okinawa prefecture 6.4%,
▽ Ehime prefecture 1.7%.
4 Number of newly infected people
As a guide, the number of newly infected people in the last week per 100,000 population is 15 or more in stage 3 and 25 or more in stage 4.
▽ 72 people in Hokkaido,
▽ 24 people in Gunma prefecture,
▽ 38 people in Tokyo
,
▽
22 people in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 16 people in Chiba prefecture
,
▽
22 people in
Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ 29 people in Ishikawa prefecture,
▽ Aichi 52 people in the
prefecture
,
▽ 18 people in Mie prefecture,
▽ 44 people in Gifu prefecture,
▽ 51 people in Osaka prefecture,
▽ 36 people in Hyogo prefecture,
▽ 37 people in Kyoto prefecture,
▽ 59 people in Okayama prefecture,
▽ Hiroshima prefecture There are 53 people in
Fukuoka prefecture, 64 people in Fukuoka prefecture,
39 people in Kumamoto
prefecture, 57 people in Okinawa prefecture,
and 6 people in Ehime prefecture.
5 Percentage of people with unknown infection route
Finally, the percentage of people whose infection route is unknown.
The standard value is 50% for both stage 3 and stage 4.
▽ 60% in Hokkaido,
▽ 38% in Gunma prefecture,
▽ 61% in Tokyo
,
▽
45% in Saitama prefecture,
▽ 56% in Chiba prefecture,
▽
56% in
Kanagawa prefecture,
▽ 36% in Ishikawa prefecture,
▽ Aichi 52% in
prefecture, 31% in Mie prefecture,
38% in Gifu prefecture,
55% in Osaka
prefecture, 45% in Hyogo prefecture
, 51% in Kyoto
prefecture, 49% in Okayama prefecture,
▽ Hiroshima prefecture Was not reported at the time of compilation by the Cabinet Office,
▽
No report at the time of compilation by the
Cabinet Office,
▽ 54% in Kumamoto Prefecture,
▽ 67% in Okinawa Prefecture,
▽ 23% in Ehime Prefecture.
The newly adopted "hospitalization rate" as an index is the ratio of those who have been hospitalized to all the recuperators.
As the number of patients with the new coronavirus increases, the number of patients who should be hospitalized but cannot be hospitalized and receive medical treatment at home or institution increases. Therefore, the lower the "hospitalization rate", the more patients cannot be accepted. That is, medical care may be tight.
However, the government's "New Coronavirus Infectious Disease Control Subcommittee" does not apply in the following cases.
▼ When the number of medical treatment is less than 10 per 100,000 population.
▼ The number of new positives who need to be hospitalized can be hospitalized by the day after the notification of the outbreak.
No stage judgment is made for these municipalities.