Every morning, Nicolas Beytout analyzes political news and gives us his opinion.

This Monday, he is interested in the legal affairs of the National Gathering which are making their media return.

According to him, the prospect of seeing the next presidential election skewed by legal proceedings would not be good for anyone, including the current majority.

The affair of the European parliamentary assistants of the National Rally came out this weekend with the publication of a police note detailing "the organized fraudulent system of embezzlement" of public funds set up by this party.

In fact, it is always the same case of financing, a mechanism which would have been developed by Jean-Marie Le Pen and amplified by his daughter when she took over the party.

The investigation was opened in 2016, which made Marine Le Pen say that there was "nothing new under the sun, except maybe good polls in sight".

In other words, bringing out this case is a political maneuver intended to hinder it in its race for the Elysee.

And is it credible?

What is certain is that there is an investigation. What is certain is that the National Gathering is multiplying the remedies to slow down the investigation, and that to date, the case is before the Paris Court of Appeal. From this point of view, Marine Le Pen is therefore right: if there is something new, it is not in the legal proceedings, but in the media revival of this affair. Hence the suspicion that she tries to instill on the theme: the power is remaking the blow of the judges against Fillon, it uses the judicial machine against its political opponents. Obviously, there is absolutely nothing to prove this to be true, but the accusation can hurt. Supporters of Marine Le Pen and all those who are already planning to vote for her in 2022 will soon wonder why the hell this case is emerging, a year before the presidential election.And of course, the idea of ​​the conspiracy is not far off. 

Except that there is not the beginning of a beginning of proof of this plot.

Absolutely none. But regardless, this kind of feeling does not work with evidence, but with hunches, or premonitions, like: Marine Le Pen is the most dangerous opponent for Emmanuel Macron, if a case comes out, so it is he who requested it. And in support of this thesis, we will note for example the reaction of Christophe Castaner, the boss of the deputies of La République en Marche, who hit hard on this money problem (and public money) which undermines the Rassemblement national. The presidential party is also the only one to have spoken loudly on this political party financing file. And for good reason, it is too recent in French political life to have had the same problems of illegal financing as almost all the others.

Does that mean that the majority does not necessarily have an interest in using this business?

Indeed, Nicolas Beytout thinks that many French people had the clear impression that justice had been strangely fast, in the Fillon case and that the prospect of seeing the next presidential election biased by legal proceedings would not be good for anyone, including understood for the current majority.

Democratic life is sick.